Category: Project Generators

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Base Metals Energy Junior Mining Project Generators

F3 Announces Revised Pricing of Bought Deal Private Placement for Gross Proceeds of C$7.0 Million

Kelowna, British Columbia–(Newsfile Corp. – October 16, 2024) – F3 Uranium Corp. (TSXV: FUU) (OTCQB: FUUFF) (“F3 Uranium” or the “Company“) announces that it has revised the pricing of its previously announced private placement for gross proceeds of C$7,000,000 (the “Underwritten Offering“). Under the revised Underwritten Offering, the Underwriters (as defined herein) have agreed to purchase for resale 6,562,500 federal flow-through units of the Company (the “FFT Units“) at a price of C$0.375 per FFT Unit (the “FFT Offering Price“) and 10,937,500 Saskatchewan flow-through units of the Company (the “SFT Units“, and together with the FFT Units, the “FT Units“) at a price of C$0.415 per SFT Unit (the “SFT Offering Price“) on a “bought deal” basis. An aggregate of 17,500,000 FT Units of the Company will be sold at a blended price of C$0.40 per FT Unit. Red Cloud Securities Inc. is acting as the lead underwriter and sole bookrunner on behalf of a syndicate of underwriters (collectively, the “Underwriters“).

Each Charity FT Unit will consist of one common share of the Company (each, a “Common Share“) to be issued as a “flow-through share” within the meaning of subsection 66(15) of the Income Tax Act (Canada) (each, a “FT Share“) and one half of one Common Share purchase warrant (each whole warrant, a “Warrant“). Each whole Warrant shall entitle the holder to purchase one Common Share (each, a “Warrant Share“) at a price of C$0.40 at any time on or before that date which is 24 months after the Closing Date (as herein defined).

The Company will grant to the Underwriters an option, exercisable up to 48 hours prior to the Closing Date, to purchase for resale up to an additional [937,500] FFT Units at the FFT Offering Price and up to an additional 1,562,500 SFT Units at the SFT Offering Price for additional gross proceeds of up to C$1,000,000 (the “Over-Allotment Option“, and together with the Underwritten Offering, the “Offering“). If the Over-Allotment Option is exercised in full, the total gross proceeds of the Offering will be C$8,000,000.

The Company will have the right to include a list of subscribers to purchase up to 1,250,000 FT Units under the Offering (the “President’s List“). The President’s List will be allocated under the Over-Allotment Option and, for greater certainty, all purchasers under the Over-Allotment Option will receive Non-LIFE FT Units (as defined herein) on the terms of the Offering and subject to certain resale restrictions as described below.

Up to 12,500,000 FT Units to be sold pursuant to the Underwritten Offering (the “LIFE FT Units“), representing gross proceeds of up to C$5,000,000, will be offered by way of the “listed issuer financing” exemption under Part 5A under National Instrument 45-106 – Prospectus Exemptions (“NI 45-106“) in all the provinces of Canada with the exception of Québec (the “Selling Jurisdictions“). The FT Shares and Warrant Shares issuable pursuant to the sale of the LIFE FT Units are expected to be immediately freely tradeable under applicable Canadian securities legislation if sold to purchasers’ resident in Canada. The remaining 5,000,000 FT Units to be sold pursuant to the Underwritten Offering as well as the FT Units that may be sold under the Over-Allotment Option (collectively, the “Non LIFE FT Units“), which includes the FT Units to be sold under the President’s List, will be offered by way of the “accredited investor” and “minimum amount investment” exemptions under NI 45-106 in the Selling Jurisdictions. The FT Shares and Warrant Shares issuable from the sale of Non-LIFE FT Units will be subject to a restricted period in Canada ending on the date that is four months plus one day following the closing of the Offering as defined in Subsection 2.5(2) of Multilateral Instrument 45-102 – Resale of Securities.

The Offering is expected to close on October 31, 2024 (the “Closing Date“). The proceeds of the Offering will be used by the Company to fund the exploration of the Company’s projects in the Athabasca Basin.

There is an offering document related to the Offering that can be accessed under the Company’s profile at www.sedarplus.ca and at the Company’s website at www.f3uranium.com. Prospective investors should read this offering document before making an investment decision.

F3 Uranium also announces that it has signed a marketing agreement with Apaton Finance of Hannover, Germany. F3 Uranium will pay Apaton €20,000 from October 31, 2024 to January 31, 2025. Apaton will write articles, conduct interviews and distribute them online in German and English via renowned and established major financial media, making them accessible to the target group.

Apaton Finance GmbH does not have any direct or indirect interest in F3 or its securities and no incentive stock options have been granted

About F3 Uranium Corp.

F3 Uranium is a uranium exploration company advancing its newly discovered high-grade JR Zone and exploring for additional mineralized zones on its 100%-owned Patterson Lake North (PLN) Project in the southwest Athabasca Basin. PLN is accessed by Provincial Highway 955, which transects the property, and the new JR Zone discovery is located ~25km northwest of Fission Uranium’s Triple R and NexGen Energy’s Arrow high-grade uranium deposits. This area is poised to become the next major area of development for new uranium operations in northern Saskatchewan. The PLN project is comprised of the PLN, Minto and Broach properties. The Broach property incorporates the former PW property which was obtained from CanAlaska as a result of a property swap.

The TSX Venture Exchange has not reviewed, approved or disapproved the contents of this press release, and does not accept responsibility for the adequacy or accuracy of this release.

F3 Uranium Corp.
750-1620 Dickson Avenue
Kelowna, BC V1Y9Y2

Contact Information
Investor Relations
Telephone: 778 484 8030
Emaill: ir@f3uranium.com

ON BEHALF OF THE BOARD

“Dev Randhawa”
Dev Randhawa, CEO

Cautionary Statement: F3 Uranium Corp.

This press release contains “forward-looking information” within the meaning of applicable Canadian and United States securities laws, which is based upon the Company’s current internal expectations, estimates, projections, assumptions and beliefs. The forward-looking information included in this press release are made only as of the date of this press release. Such forward-looking statements and forward-looking information include, but are not limited to, statements concerning the Company’s expectations with respect to the Offering; the use of proceeds of the Offering; completion of the Offering and the date of such completion. Forward-looking statements or forward-looking information relate to future events and future performance and include statements regarding the expectations and beliefs of management based on information currently available to the Company. Such forward-looking statements and forward-looking information often, but not always, can be identified by the use of words such as “plans”, “expects”, “potential”, “is expected”, “anticipated”, “is targeted”, “budget”, “scheduled”, “estimates”, “forecasts”, “intends”, “anticipates”, or “believes” or the negatives thereof or variations of such words and phrases or statements that certain actions, events or results “may”, “could”, “would”, “might” or “will” be taken, occur or be achieved.

Forward-looking statements or forward-looking information are subject to a variety of risks and uncertainties which could cause actual events or results to differ materially from those reflected in the forward-looking statements or forward-looking information, including, without limitation, risks and uncertainties relating to: general business and economic conditions; regulatory approval for the Offering; completion of the Offering; changes in commodity prices; the supply and demand for, deliveries of, and the level and volatility of the price of uranium and other metals; changes in project parameters as exploration plans continue to be refined; costs of exploration including labour and equipment costs; risks and uncertainties related to the ability to obtain or maintain necessary licenses, permits or surface rights; changes in credit market conditions and conditions in financial markets generally; the ability to procure equipment and operating supplies in sufficient quantities and on a timely basis; the availability of qualified employees and contractors; the impact of value of the Canadian dollar and U.S. dollar, foreign exchange rates on costs and financial results; market competition; exploration results not being consistent with the Company’s expectations; changes in taxation rates or policies; technical difficulties in connection with mining activities; changes in environmental regulation; environmental compliance issues; and other risks of the mining industry. Should one or more of these risks and uncertainties materialize, or should underlying assumptions prove incorrect, actual results may vary materially from those described in forward-looking statements or forward-looking information. Although the Company has attempted to identify important factors that could cause actual results to differ materially, there may be other factors that could cause results not to be as anticipated, estimated or intended. For more information on the Company and the risks and challenges of its business, investors should review the Company’s annual filings that are available at www.sedarplus.ca. The forward-looking statements included in this press release are made as of the date of this press release and F3 Uranium Corp. disclaim any intention or obligation to update or revise any forward-looking statements, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise, except as expressly required by applicable securities legislation.

To view the source version of this press release, please visit https://www.newsfilecorp.com/release/226838

Categories
Base Metals Energy Junior Mining Precious Metals Project Generators

Riverside Resources Completes LiDAR Survey and Expanding Targeting at the Duc Project in Ontario

Vancouver, British Columbia–(Newsfile Corp. – October 16, 2024) – Riverside Resources Inc. (TSXV: RRI) (OTCQB: RVSDF) (FSE: 5YY) (“Riverside” or the “Company”), is pleased to announce that its 100% owned subsidiary, Blue Jay Resources, has completed a Light Detection and Ranging (“LiDAR”) airborne geophysical survey at the Duc Project, 50 kms southwest of the town of Kapuskasing, Ontario as part of the conclusion of a successful summer field program. Exploration work of sampling, mapping and now LiDAR provides expanded targeting and also improved definition of the surface projection of east-west Abitibi greenstone style shears and second order ENE cross structures which typically occur in this western part of the Wawa-Abitibi along the major gold-bearing breaks that host significant gold resources in the Timmins Camp.

“Our exploration team recently received the detailed LiDAR survey which now is part of our wrapping up the successful summer exploration program on the Duc Project in Ontario and we look forward to following up with the further interpretations and targeting using the LiDAR survey and Orthophoto,” stated John-Mark Staude, CEO of Riverside Resources. “The project is situated within the Wawa Greenstone Belt which hosts high-grade gold in large district structures such as Hemlo Mining Camp which has produced over 30M Oz Au (Barrick annual reports), and we believe that further exploration at Duc, in anticipation of a drill program, continues to show growing discovery potential.”

“Precious metals, and in particular gold, have seen significant investment interest and subsequent price increases this year,” added Staude. “We have a strong property portfolio in the important gold producing province of Ontario and are excited to push forward on further exploration efforts in this very supportive gold price environment.”

Highlighted Results of the Completed LiDAR Survey:

The survey provides new Geo-referenced 3D map and point cloud of the area ≥100 points/m2 making a detailed surface map useful for tracking sampling, field work and structural geologic interpretations.

  • A ≤20 cm digital surface model (DSM)
  • An accurate digital elevation model (DEM)
  • An accurate ground surface contour map
  • An accurate Hill Shade Bare Earth map

Combining LiDAR with the Orthophoto and heli-mag provides the framework for the next phase of Duc exploration work going into the winter season.

LiDAR is a very useful, relatively new technology whereby surface outcrop patterns suggestive of underlying geology and structure can be identified including subtle aspects and seeing through the surface trees and plant cover that can hide surface details. This survey which distinguishes down to the multi-centimeter scale was also coupled with orthophotography remote sensing images and techniques. This combination of LiDAR and orthophoto combined relies on rigorous, high-quality data collected under strict QA/QC standards and is most useful for delineating linear features such as faults or resistant rock types such as silicification. LiDAR helps with structural geological interpretation, outcrop mapping and accurately identifying areas of past work which in turn helps design sampling and mapping programs that focus on geological contacts, shear zones and faults. Through this LiDAR survey at Duc old workings and diggings have been identified which were not previously noted due to tree and plant cover. The past excavations and the airborne geophysics completed by Riverside will help to focus field follow up sampling programs.

The LiDAR methods are very useful for modelling faults subject to hydrothermal alteration which could host gold mineralization and are one of the main gold target types for Duc. The faults from the past field mapping were primarily tracked using the helicopter airborne magnetics and processed images from this data. But now with LiDAR and orthophoto thus combining the three surveys the Duc fault structures and generational sequence is more clearly decipherable with attention to potential mineralization corridors, fold noses, structural intersections that are generally gold exploration targets. This data accentuates the NE fabric and the intersecting N-S and NW off sets which could be post the main mineralization thus with the LiDAR the Company can potentially define more extensive offset gold zones

About the Duc Project

The Duc Project is located in the Porcupine Mining Division, approximately 50 km southwest of Kapuskasing, Ontario. Covering 580 hectares, it sits within the highly prospective Kapuskasing Structural Zone, near the open-pit phosphate mine of Agrium Ltd. The property is underlain by a mix of metasedimentary and metavolcanic rocks, with potential for gold and rare earth element (REE) mineralization. Recent exploration, including a 2023 helicopter magnetics survey, has confirmed key structural elements and identified promising areas for follow-up targeting work.

The Company is leading exploration efforts at Duc, focusing on gold mineralization and potential platinum group metals (PGMs). Historical drilling and geophysical data suggest significant gold and nickel potential, while current geophysical surveys have highlighted new targets. Planned work includes further integration of the new geophysical surveys, geochemical analysis, and then drilling to refine these targets and advance the project towards more detailed exploration.

Qualified Person & QA/QC:

The scientific and technical data contained in this news release pertaining to the Duc Project was reviewed and approved by Freeman Smith, P.Geo, a non-independent qualified person to Riverside Resources who is responsible for ensuring that the information provided in this news release is accurate and who acts as a “qualified person” under National Instrument 43-101 Standards of Disclosure for Mineral Projects.

About Riverside Resources Inc.:

Riverside is a well-funded exploration company driven by value generation and discovery. The Company has over $5M in cash, no debt and less than 75M shares outstanding with a strong portfolio of gold-silver and copper assets and royalties in North America. Riverside has extensive experience and knowledge operating in Mexico and Canada and leverages its large database to generate a portfolio of prospective mineral properties. In addition to Riverside’s own exploration spending, the Company also strives to diversify risk by securing joint-venture and spin-out partnerships to advance multiple assets simultaneously and create more chances for discovery. Riverside has properties available for option, with information available on the Company’s website at www.rivres.com.

ON BEHALF OF RIVERSIDE RESOURCES INC.

“John-Mark Staude”

Dr. John-Mark Staude, President & CEO

For additional information contact:

John-Mark Staude
President, CEO
Riverside Resources Inc.
info@rivres.com
Phone: (778) 327-6671
Fax: (778) 327-6675
Web: www.rivres.com

Eric Negraeff
Investor Relations
Riverside Resources Inc.
Phone: (778) 327-6671
TF: (877) RIV-RES1
Web: www.rivres.com

Certain statements in this press release may be considered forward-looking information. These statements can be identified by the use of forward-looking terminology (e.g., “expect”,” estimates”, “intends”, “anticipates”, “believes”, “plans”). Such information involves known and unknown risks — including the availability of funds, the results of financing and exploration activities, the interpretation of exploration results and other geological data, or unanticipated costs and expenses and other risks identified by Riverside in its public securities filings that may cause actual events to differ materially from current expectations. Readers are cautioned not to place undue reliance on these forward-looking statements, which speak only as of the date of this press release.

Neither the TSX Venture Exchange nor its Regulation Services Provider (as that term is defined in the policies of the TSX Venture Exchange) accepts responsibility for the adequacy or accuracy of this release.

To view the source version of this press release, please visit https://www.newsfilecorp.com/release/226736

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Base Metals Energy Junior Mining Oil & Gas Precious Metals Project Generators

Drought is parching the world’s largest man-made lake, stripping Zambia of its electricity

JACOB ZIMBA

Fri, October 11, 2024 at 10:11 PM EDT

LAKE KARIBA, Zambia (AP) — Tindor Sikunyongana is trying to run a welding business which these days means buying a diesel generator with costly fuel he can’t always afford.

Like everyone in Zambia, Sikunyongana is facing a daily struggle to find and afford electricity during a climate-induced energy crisis that’s robbed the southern African country of almost all its power.

“Only God knows when this crisis will end,” said Sikunyongana. His generator ran out of diesel and spluttered to a halt as he spoke. “You see what I mean?” he said.

Zambia’s worst electricity blackouts in memory have been caused by a severe drought in the region that has left the critical Kariba dam, the source of Sikunyongana’s woes, with insufficient water to run its hydroelectric turbines. Kariba is the largest man-made lake in the world by volume and lies 200 kilometers (125 miles) south of Lusaka on the border between Zambia and Zimbabwe.

The massive dam wall was built in the 1950s and more than 80 workers died during construction. It was meant to revolutionize the countries’ energy supplies by trapping the water of the Zambezi River, turning a valley into a huge lake and providing an endless supply of renewable hydroelectric power.

That’s not the case anymore as months of drought brought by the naturally occurring El Nino weather pattern and exacerbated by warming temperatures have put Zambia’s hydroelectric station on the brink of completely shutting down for the first time.

The water level is so low that only one of the six turbines on Zambia’s side of the dam is able to operate, cutting generation to less than 10% of normal output. Zambia relies on Kariba for more than 80% of its national electricity supply, and the result is Zambians have barely a few hours of power a day at the best of times. Often, areas are going without electricity for days.

Edla Musonda is so exasperated that she’s taken to lugging her entire desktop computer — hard drive, monitor, everything — to a local cafe so she can work.

Musonda and others cram into the Mercato Cafe in the Zambian capital of Lusaka, not for the sandwiches or the ambiance but because it has a diesel generator. Tables are cluttered with power strips and cables as people plug in cell phones, laptops and in Musonda’s case, a home office. This is the only way her small travel business is going to survive.

Less than half of Zambia’s 20 million people had access to electricity before Kariba’s problems. Millions more have now been forced to adjust as mothers find different ways to cook for their families and children do their homework by candlelight. The most damaging impact is during the daylight hours when small businesses, the backbone of the country, struggle to operate.

“This is also going to increase poverty levels in the country,” said economist Trevor Hambayi, who fears Zambia’s economy will shrink dramatically if the power crisis is prolonged. It’s a warning call to the Zambian government and the continent in general about the danger to development of relying heavily on one source of energy that is so climate dependent.

The power crisis is a bigger blow to the economy and the battle against poverty than the lockdowns during the COVID-19 pandemic, said Zambia Association of Manufacturers president Ashu Sagar.

Africa contributes the least to global warming but is the most vulnerable continent to extreme weather events and climate change as poor countries can’t meet the high financials costs of adapting. This year’s drought in southern Africa is the worst in decades and has parched crops and left millions hungry, causing Zambia and others to already declare national disasters and ask for aid.

Hydroelectric power accounts for 17% of Africa’s energy generation, but that figure is expected to rise to 23% by 2040, according to the International Energy Agency. Zambia is not alone in that hydroelectric power makes up over 80% of the energy mix in Mozambique, Malawi, Uganda, Ethiopia and Congo, even as experts warn it will become more unreliable.

“Extreme weather patterns, including prolonged droughts, make it clear that overreliance on hydro is no longer sustainable,” said Carlos Lopes, a professor at the Mandela School of Public Governance at the University of Cape Town in South Africa.

The Zambian government has urged people and businesses to embrace solar power. But many Zambians can’t afford the technology, while the government itself has turned to more familiar but polluting diesel generators to temporarily power hospitals and other buildings. It has also said it will increase its electricity from coal-fired stations out of necessity. While neighboring Zimbabwe has also lost much of its electricity generation from Kariba and blackouts there are also frequent, it gets a greater share of its power from coal plants.

At Kariba, the 128-meter-high (420-feet) dam wall is almost completely exposed. A dry, reddish-brown stain near the top marks where the water once reached in better times more than a decade ago.

Leonard Siamubotu, who has taken tourists on boat cruises on the picturesque lake for more than 20 years, has seen the change. As the water level dropped, it exposed old, dead trees that were completely submerged for years after the wall was built. “I’m seeing this tree for the first time,” he said of one that’s appeared in the middle of the lake.

The lake’s water level naturally rises and recedes according to the season, but generally it should go up by around six meters after the rains. It moved by less than 30 centimeters after the last rainy season barely materialized, authorities said. They hope this year’s rains, which should start in November, will be good. But they estimate that it’ll still take three good years for Kariba to fully recover its hydroelectric capability.

Experts say there’s also no guarantee those rains will come and it’s dangerous to rely on a changing climate given Zambia has had drought-induced power problems before, and the trend is they are getting worse.

“That’s not a solution … just to sit and wait for nature,” said Hambayi.

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Associated Press journalist Taiwo Adebayo in Abuja, Nigeria contributed to this report.

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For more news on Africa and development: https://apnews.com/hub/africa-pulse

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The Associated Press receives financial support for global health and development coverage in Africa from the Gates Foundation. The AP is solely responsible for all content. Find AP’s standards for working with philanthropies, a list of supporters and funded coverage areas at AP.org.

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The Associated Press’ climate and environmental coverage receives financial support from multiple private foundations. AP is solely responsible for all content. Find AP’s standards for working with philanthropies, a list of supporters and funded coverage areas at AP.org.

Original Source: https://finance.yahoo.com/news/tiktok-aware-risks-kids-teens-000147202.html

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Breaking Energy Junior Mining Oil & Gas Precious Metals Project Generators

Investor reactions to briefing from China’s finance ministry on stimulus

FILE PHOTO: A man walks in the Central Business District on a rainy day, in Beijing · Reuters

Fri, October 11, 2024 at 11:24 PM EDT 

SINGAPORE (Reuters) – China said on Saturday it will “significantly increase” government debt issuance to offer subsidies to people with low incomes, support the property market and replenish state banks’ capital as it pushes to revive sputtering economic growth.

Without providing details on the size of the fiscal stimulus being prepared, Finance Minister Lan Foan told a news conference there will be more “counter-cyclical measures” this year.

Global financial markets have been keenly awaiting more details on China’s stimulus plans, fearing its 2024 economic growth target and longer-term growth trajectory may be at risk if more support is not announced soon.

Here are some comments from investors and analysts on the press briefing from China’s finance ministry:

RONG REN GOH, PORTFOLIO MANAGER, EASTSPRING INVESTMENTS, SINGAPORE

“Investors were hoping for fresh stimulus, accompanied by specific numbers, to be announced at the MOF presser, including the size of these commitments. From this perspective, it turned out to be somewhat of a damp squib given only vague guidance was provided.

“That said, there were meaningful measures announced. The MoF affirmed room for the central government to increase debt, more support for housing markets, and increased local government debt quotas to alleviate refinancing woes.

“However, with markets focused on ‘how much’ over ‘what’, they were invariably set up to be disappointed by this briefing.”

HUANG XUEFENG, CREDIT RESEARCH DIRECTOR, SHANGHAI ANFANG PRIVATE FUND CO, SHANGHAI

“The focus seems to be around funding the fiscal gap and solving local government debt risks, which far undershoots expectations that had been priced into the recent stock market jump. Without arrangements targeting demand and investment, it’s hard to ease the deflationary pressure.”

ZHAOPENG XING, SENIOR CHINA STRATEGIST, ANZ, SHANGHAI

“MOF focused more on derisking local governments. It will likely add new quotas of treasury and local bonds. We expect a 10 trillion yuan ($1.42 trillion) implicit debt swap in the next few years. Official deficit and local bond quotas may both increase to 5 trillion yuan going forward. But it looks (to be) not much this year. We expect 1 trillion ultra-long treasury and 1 trillion local bonds to be announced by NPC this month end.”

BRUCE PANG, CHIEF ECONOMIST CHINA, JONES LANG LASALLE, HONG KONG

“The message released from today’s press conference is actually quite in line with the expectations of those familiar with China’s policy-making process and state structure. The officials have given answers to questions of ‘how’ but no details of ‘when’, yet.

“I will expect more details and number of the previewed fiscal stimulus to be published only after the upcoming meeting of the NPCSC to approve a plan to increase treasury issuance and provide a mid-year revision to the national budget. And it would be reasonable and practical to keep room for policy manoeuvring to prepare for external shocks and uncertainties.”

CHRISTOPHER WONG, CURRENCY STRATEGIST, OCBC, SINGAPORE

“There was mention of 2.3 trillion yuan and some details on local bond issuance that can support housing … but it stopped short of a big surprise factor. That said, we shouldn’t lose sight of the bigger picture and that is policymakers acknowledged the issues and are putting in genuine effort to tackle those issues.

“More time may be needed for more thought-out and targeted measures. But those measures also need to come fast as markets are eagerly waiting for them. Over expectations vs under-delivery would result in disappointment and that can manifest itself into Chinese markets.”

TIANCHEN XU, SENIOR ECONOMIST, ECONOMIST INTELLIGENCE UNIT, BEIJING

“Our overall take is quite positive in that MoF is willing to tackle China’s many economic challenges by leveraging its borrowing room. The immediate benefits to the economy will be limited, as the MoF avoided large-scale direct cash handouts to households. However, its commitment to restoring local public finances through fiscal transfer and debt replacement is highly commendable.

“In the medium term, it will put an end to the aggressive deleveraging by local governments and ease the resulting deflationary pressure. And as their financial position stabilises, local governments will be better positioned to support the economy by providing public services and embark on public investments.

VASU MENON, MANAGING DIRECTOR, INVESTMENT STRATEGY, OCBC, SINGAPORE

“The Chinese government’s determination to provide a backstop to the ailing property market and economy came through clearly in the press briefing by the MoF. However, specific numbers with regards to initiatives announced was lacking. The lack of a big headline figure may also disappoint some investors who were hoping for the government to announce a sizeable 2 trillion yuan in fresh fiscal stimulus to shore up the economy and boost confidence.

“Investors were hoping for more measures targeted at households instead of only the real estate sector. While today’s measures were focused on local governments and helping them to purchase unsold homes, it is unclear if this will translate into action as local governments have been reluctant so far to participate in the home purchase program for fear that home prices could fall further.

“Nevertheless, investors will take some comfort from the Finance Minister’s pronouncement that the central government has room to increase debt and the deficit, and that it has other tools in consideration to use in future. This offers hope that more can and will be done, although investors hoping for a big bang fiscal bazooka today will probably be disappointed.

($1 = 7.0666 Chinese yuan renminbi)

(Reporting by Asia markets team and China economics team; compiled by Ankur Banerjee; Editing by Kim Coghill)

Source: https://finance.yahoo.com/news/instant-view-investor-reactions-briefing-032444224.html

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Base Metals Energy Junior Mining Precious Metals Project Generators

The Gold Bull Cycle Has Just Begun

Special Thanks: Brian ‘Griz” Testo of www.grizzlydiscoveries.com

Original Source: https://dailyreckoning.com/the-gold-bull-cycle-has-just-begun/

Cycles surround us. In markets, astronomy, and our lives.

Every day is a circadian cycle for us all. Our bodies move through phases based on our exposure to light or darkness.

image 1

Markets are also remarkably cyclical, responding to the environment around them. Interest rates, regulation, monetary policy and investor psychology all play important roles.

Precious metals are no different. The sector’s performance ebbs and flows over time.

From 2000 to 2011, gold crushed the S&P 500:

image 2

Source: Charlie Bilello

An even better example is from 1972 to 1980 when gold returned 1,256% to the S&P 500’s 97%.

Of course, stocks take their turn in the spotlight too.

From 2012 to 2021, stocks returned 336% vs gold’s 16%. And from 1980 to 1999, stocks were absolutely dominant as gold went dormant for nearly two decades.

Over the past few years, both have done well.

The point here is that it’s a cycle.

Just take a look at the chart below. It shows the ratio of S&P 500 performance vs gold through 2021.

image 3

Source: Charlie Bilello

I believe we switched back to precious metals mode at the beginning of this year. And if this is the beginning of a fresh cycle, we may be in for another 7-plus years of precious metals outperforming stocks.

Given the magnitude of what we’re facing, it could go on longer than that.

Catalysts and Causes

Periods where gold outperforms tend to be chaotic.

Past catalysts have included a crash at the end of a major bull market (1971 and 2000), and an inflationary shift in monetary policy (1971 and 2000).

Wars often play a part as well, as they did in the 1970s (Vietnam and others), and the early 2000s (War on Terror). Wars spike deficits and increase the monetary supply. They also drive safe-haven demand from both central banks and investors.

I believe our situation today fits the bill.

Stocks are still doing well, for now, but markets look expensive. The chart below, from Longview Economics, shows that 90% of U.S. stock sectors are in their top quartile (25%) of historical valuations.

image 4

Source: Longview Economics on X

Stocks are richly valued across almost the entire board. This tends to happen near market peaks. And I don’t see any positive catalysts hiding around the corner to drive sustainable real growth.

Of course, the broad bubble in U.S. stocks could go on for longer than we expect, but at this point, I’m more focused on precious metals and even certain foreign markets.

To be clear, I do own U.S. stocks and will continue to.

But during times like these, I lower that exposure and boost my allocation to alternatives, particularly gold and silver.

Macro Looks Bullish for Gold

The U.S. and many other countries are reaching a tipping point with debt. Total global debt just reached $315 trillion, which is 333% of global GDP.

The Federal Reserve just switched into easy-money mode and is likely to fire up formal QE in the near future. China’s central bank just injected massive liquidity to boost its sluggish economy. More countries will follow suit, and global liquidity is poised to surge.

In addition, we have multiple wars and conflicts raging in Yemen, Ukraine, Israel, Iran and beyond. Nascent proxy wars between the US and Russia are quietly breaking out in multiple African countries.

Military spending is booming, with Russia increasing its annual defense spending to 40% of its total budget. And China’s defense spending now rivals the U.S. in terms of purchasing power parity (PPP). Naturally, the U.S. is no slouch in this area and is also ramping up spending and production.

Durable Catalysts

The stage is set for a powerful precious metals bull market cycle. The problems facing the world are not going away anytime soon. Even if all the conflicts end tomorrow, and they won’t, we’re still facing a structural debt problem of unprecedented magnitude.

Further conflict and spending will just add gas to the fire.

For now, markets seem complacent that all is well with the economy. It won’t last forever.  If we get a nice pullback in gold and silver here, and we may well, it’ll be an amazing opportunity to stack up. I will continue to buy on pullbacks.

See my previous Daily Reckoning articles here.

Categories
Base Metals Energy Junior Mining Project Generators

F3 Announces Revised Bought Deal Private Placement for Gross Proceeds of C$7 Million

K

elowna, British Columbia–(Newsfile Corp. – October 10, 2024) – F3 Uranium Corp. (TSXV: FUU) (OTC Pink: FUUFF) (“F3 Uranium” or the “Company“) is pleased to announce that due to significant investor demand, the Company has increased the gross proceeds of its previously announced private placement (the “Underwritten Offering“) to C$7,000,000. Under the revised Underwritten Offering, the Underwriters (as defined herein) have agreed to purchase for resale 17,500,000 flow-through units of the Company to be sold to charitable purchasers (each, a “Charity FT Unit“) at a price of C$0.40 per Charity FT Unit (the “Offering Price“) on a “bought deal” basis. Red Cloud Securities Inc. is acting as lead underwriter and sole bookrunner on behalf of a syndicate of underwriters (collectively, the “Underwriters“).

Each Charity FT Unit will consist of one common share of the Company (each, a “Common Share“) to be issued as a “flow-through share” within the meaning of subsection 66(15) of the Income Tax Act (Canada) (each, a “FT Share“) and one half of one Common Share purchase warrant (each whole warrant, a “Warrant“). Each whole Warrant shall entitle the holder to purchase one Common Share (each, a “Warrant Share“) at a price of C$0.40 at any time on or before that date which is 24 months after the Closing Date (as herein defined).

The Company will grant to the Underwriters an option, exercisable up to 48 hours prior to the Closing Date, to purchase for resale up to an additional 2,500,000 Charity FT Units at the Offering Price for additional gross proceeds of up to C$1,000,000 (the “Over-Allotment Option“, and together with the Underwritten Offering, the “Offering“).

The Company shall have the right to include a list of subscribers to purchase up to 1,250,000 Charity FT Units at the Offering Price for gross proceeds of up to C$500,000 under the Offering (the “President’s List“). The President’s List shall be allocated under the Over-Allotment Option and, for greater certainty, all purchasers under the Over-Allotment Option shall receive Non-LIFE CFT Units (as defined herein) on the terms of the Offering and subject to the resale restrictions noted herein.

Up to 12,500,000 Charity FT Units sold pursuant to the Underwritten Offering (the “LIFE CFT Units“), representing gross proceeds of C$5,000,000, will be offered by way of the “listed issuer financing” exemption under Part 5A (the “LIFE Exemption“) under National Instrument 45-106 – Prospectus Exemptions (“NI 45-106“) in all the provinces of Canada with the exception of Quebec (the “Selling Jurisdictions“). The FT Shares and Warrant Shares issuable pursuant to the sale of the LIFE CFT Units are expected to be immediately freely tradeable under applicable Canadian securities legislation if sold to purchasers resident in Canada. The remaining 5,000,000 Charity FT Units sold pursuant to the Underwritten Offering as well as the Charity FT Units that may be sold under the Over-Allotment Option (collectively, the “Non-LIFE CFT Units“), which includes the Charity FT Units sold under the President’s List, will be offered by way of the “accredited investor” and “minimum amount investment” exemptions under NI 45-106 in the Selling Jurisdictions. The FT Shares and Warrant Shares issuable pursuant to the sale of Non-LIFE CFT Units will be subject to a hold period in Canada ending on the date that is four months plus one day following the closing of the Offering as defined in Subsection 2.5(2) of Multilateral Instrument 45-102 – Resale of Securities.

The Offering is expected to close on October 31, 2024 (the “Closing Date“). The proceeds of the Offering will be used by the Company to fund the exploration of the Company’s projects in the Athabasca Basin.

There is an offering document related to the Offering that can be accessed under the Company’s profile at www.sedarplus.ca and at the Company’s website at www.f3uranium.com. Prospective investors should read this offering document before making an investment decision.

About F3 Uranium Corp.

F3 Uranium is a uranium exploration company advancing its newly discovered high-grade JR Zone and exploring for additional mineralized zones on its 100%-owned Patterson Lake North (PLN) Project in the southwest Athabasca Basin. PLN is accessed by Provincial Highway 955, which transects the property, and the new JR Zone discovery is located ~25km northwest of Fission Uranium’s Triple R and NexGen Energy’s Arrow high-grade uranium deposits. This area is poised to become the next major area of development for new uranium operations in northern Saskatchewan. The PLN project is comprised of the PLN, Minto and Broach properties. The Broach property incorporates the former PW property which was obtained from CanAlaska as a result of a property swap.

The TSX Venture Exchange has not reviewed, approved or disapproved the contents of this press release, and do not accept responsibility for the adequacy or accuracy of this release.

F3 Uranium Corp.
750-1620 Dickson Avenue
Kelowna, BC V1Y9Y2

Contact Information
Investor Relations
Telephone: 778 484 8030
Email: ir@f3uranium.com

ON BEHALF OF THE BOARD

“Dev Randhawa”
Dev Randhawa, CEO

Cautionary Statement: F3 Uranium Corp.

This press release contains “forward-looking information” within the meaning of applicable Canadian and United States securities laws, which is based upon the Company’s current internal expectations, estimates, projections, assumptions and beliefs. The forward-looking information included in this press release are made only as of the date of this press release. Such forward-looking statements and forward-looking information include, but are not limited to, statements concerning the Company’s expectations with respect to the Offering; the use of proceeds of the Offering; completion of the Offering and the date of such completion. Forward-looking statements or forward-looking information relate to future events and future performance and include statements regarding the expectations and beliefs of management based on information currently available to the Company. Such forward-looking statements and forward-looking information often, but not always, can be identified by the use of words such as “plans”, “expects”, “potential”, “is expected”, “anticipated”, “is targeted”, “budget”, “scheduled”, “estimates”, “forecasts”, “intends”, “anticipates”, or “believes” or the negatives thereof or variations of such words and phrases or statements that certain actions, events or results “may”, “could”, “would”, “might” or “will” be taken, occur or be achieved.

Forward-looking statements or forward-looking information are subject to a variety of risks and uncertainties which could cause actual events or results to differ materially from those reflected in the forward-looking statements or forward-looking information, including, without limitation, risks and uncertainties relating to: general business and economic conditions; regulatory approval for the Offering; completion of the Offering; changes in commodity prices; the supply and demand for, deliveries of, and the level and volatility of the price of uranium and other metals; changes in project parameters as exploration plans continue to be refined; costs of exploration including labour and equipment costs; risks and uncertainties related to the ability to obtain or maintain necessary licenses, permits or surface rights; changes in credit market conditions and conditions in financial markets generally; the ability to procure equipment and operating supplies in sufficient quantities and on a timely basis; the availability of qualified employees and contractors; the impact of value of the Canadian dollar and U.S. dollar, foreign exchange rates on costs and financial results; market competition; exploration results not being consistent with the Company’s expectations; changes in taxation rates or policies; technical difficulties in connection with mining activities; changes in environmental regulation; environmental compliance issues; other risks of the mining industry; and risks related to the effects of COVID-19. Should one or more of these risks and uncertainties materialize, or should underlying assumptions prove incorrect, actual results may vary materially from those described in forward-looking statements or forward-looking information. Although the Company has attempted to identify important factors that could cause actual results to differ materially, there may be other factors that could cause results not to be as anticipated, estimated or intended. For more information on the Company and the risks and challenges of its business, investors should review the Company’s annual filings that are available at www.sedarplus.ca. The forward-looking statements included in this press release are made as of the date of this press release and F3 Uranium Corp. disclaim any intention or obligation to update or revise any forward-looking statements, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise, except as expressly required by applicable securities legislation.

To view the source version of this press release, please visit https://www.newsfilecorp.com/release/226265

Categories
Base Metals Exclusive Interviews Junior Mining Precious Metals Project Generators

Can South Asians Assimilate?

Original Source: https://jayantbhandari.com/can-south-asians-assimilate-mae-azt/

Here, C.Jay Engel and I discuss how well South Asians assimilate into Western society:

Thanks for the help with editing from my friend, Maurice Jackson; here is the playlist of the speeches from the last Capitalism & Morality seminar:

On Investments

Here are some companies that I am interested in at the mentioned prices. I almost never chase stocks—illiquid stocks often come to me at my limit prices.

  • Irving Resources (IRV; $0.29): I am spending the next week on a site visit with them. The two joint ventures—one with Newmont and Sumitomo on the Yamagano project and the other with JX Mining on the Omu project—are close to the finish line.
  • Florida Canyon Gold (FCGV; $0.57): The merger with Integra Resources is underway and should close next month. There is still a 7% arbitrage upside left.
  • Harfang Exploration (HAR; $0.07): It trades for less than its cash value. The merger with Neworigin (NEWO) should close next month. NEWO is hardly trading but could be worth a bid at $0.015.
  • Bullet Exploration (AMMO; $0.075): It is merging with Gold79 (AUU; $0.225). At the current share price of AMMO, there is a significant arbitrage upside, although not many shares are available.
  • Aztec Minerals (AZT; $0.175): They are drilling their project in Arizona. I expect the results to be good. I am sitting on a stink bid, as AZT has increased significantly over the next few days.

Finally, I have recently started conducting weekly online discussions with guests on X. These are mainly on the Third World, focused primarily on India. The discussions are also available on podcast services.

Jayant Bhandari

Disclaimer: All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, or stock picks, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment, or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies. The sole purpose of these musings is to show my thinking process when analyzing a stock, not to provide any recommendations. I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take resulting from anything you read here. Conduct your due diligence or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made based on any information found on this site, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.

Categories
Base Metals Emx Royalty Energy Junior Mining Precious Metals Project Generators

EMX Royalty Announces Share Buyback

Vancouver, British Columbia–(Newsfile Corp. – October 4, 2024) – EMX Royalty Corporation (NYSE American: EMX) (TSXV: EMX) (FSE: 6E9) (the “Company” or “EMX“) is pleased to announce it has recently repurchased shares in a block trade from an undisclosed seller via its existing Normal Course Issuer Bid (“NCIB”) in the amount of two million shares at a price of C$2.05, totaling C$4.1 million or approximately US$3.0M. Since the NCIB was announced on February 7, 2024, EMX has purchased a total of 2,805,346 shares at an average price of C$2.15, totaling approximately C$6.0M. EMX may purchase a remaining 2,194,654 shares under the current NCIB program expiring February 13, 2025.

EMX CEO Dave Cole commented “EMX is committed to astute allocation of capital. We believe EMX shares are undervalued. Buybacks at these levels should provide exceptional risk-adjusted returns on capital.”

About EMX – EMX is a precious and base metals royalty company. EMX’s investors are provided with discovery, development, and commodity price optionality, while limiting exposure to risks inherent to operating companies. The Company’s common shares are listed on the NYSE American Exchange and TSX Venture Exchange under the symbol “EMX”. Please see www.EMXroyalty.com for more information.

For further information contact:

David M. Cole
President and CEO
Phone: (303) 973-8585
Dave@EMXroyalty.com

Isabel Belger
Investor Relations
Phone: +49 178 4909039
IBelger@EMXroyalty.com

Neither the TSX Venture Exchange nor its Regulation Services Provider (as that term is defined in policies of the TSX Venture Exchange) accepts responsibility for the adequacy or accuracy of this release

Forward-Looking Statements

This news release may contain “forward-looking statements” that reflect the Company’s current expectations and projections about its future results, but which are not statements of fact. When used in this news release, words such as “estimate,” “intend,” “expect,” “anticipate,” “will”, “believe”, “potential” and similar expressions are intended to identify forward-looking statements, which, by their very nature, are not guarantees of the Company’s future operational or financial performance, and are subject to risks and uncertainties and other factors that could cause the Company’s actual results, performance, prospects or opportunities to differ materially from those expressed in, or implied by, these forward-looking statements. These risks, uncertainties and factors may include, but are not limited to the Company being unable to comply with the covenants under the Credit Agreement, including the repayment of any amounts owing under the Loan, and other factors.

Readers are cautioned not to place undue reliance on these forward-looking statements, which speak only as of the date of this news release or as of the date otherwise specifically indicated herein. Due to risks and uncertainties, including the risks and uncertainties identified in this news release, and other risk factors and forward-looking statements listed in the Company’s MD&A for the quarter ended June 30, 2024 (the “MD&A”), and the most recently filed Annual Information Form (“AIF”) for the year ended December 31, 2023, actual events may differ materially from current expectations. More information about the Company, including the MD&A, the AIF and financial statements of the Company, is available on SEDAR+ at www.sedarplus.ca and on the SEC’s EDGAR website at www.sec.gov.

To view the source version of this press release, please visit https://www.newsfilecorp.com/release/225549

Categories
Base Metals Junior Mining Precious Metals Project Generators

Everything You Need to Know on VMS Deposits

Published 6 years ago 

on January 29, 2019

By Nicholas LePan

Original Source: https://www.visualcapitalist.com/everything-you-need-to-know-on-vms-deposits/

Everything You Need to Know about VMS Deposits

People are often not aware of where their most prized devices really come from.

Phones, cars, and computers might not seem like the most natural objects. But the metals that make them come from natural processes deep in the earth’s crust – processes that have been going on for 3.4 billion years, and continue to this day.

Today’s visualization comes to us from Foran Mining Corp. and goes in depth to show how one type of mineral deposit, Volcanogenic Massive Sulphide or “VMS”, forms and is the primary source for many of the materials that make the modern world.

What is a VMS Deposit?

Volcanogenic Massive Sulphide (VMS) deposits are one of the richest sources of metals such as copper, lead, and zinc globally. VMS deposits can also produce economic amounts of gold and silver as byproducts of mining these deposits.

Currently, global metal production from VMS deposits account for 22% of zinc, 9.7% of lead, 6% of copper, 8.7% of silver and 2.2% of gold.

Where are VMS deposits found?

VMS deposits occur around the globe and often form in clusters or camps, following the tectonic plate boundaries in areas of ancient underwater volcanic activity.

Natural processes underway today are forming the VMS deposits of tomorrow. This gives scientists an incredible advantage in witnessing how VMS deposits form and gives a special advantage to geologists for what to look for.

Mineralization and Formation

The geological processes that form VMS deposits occur at the depths of the ocean and are associated with volcanic and/or sedimentary rocks.

At sections where the Earth’s crust is thin due to faulting or separation of tectonic plates, the magma heats up the ocean floor.

As the Earth’s crust heats up, the ground softens and allows heated magma to escape towards the ocean or crust contact, the early beginning of a volcano and the deposition of minerals into the ocean floor from magma. Also, the heated ground cracks and begins a process that draws in sea water into the crust which becomes super-heated and imbued with minerals. Black and white smokers expel this seawater back to the surface.

Black and white smokers exhale a mineral rich-plume that spreads out over the ocean floor. As it moves farther and farther away from its heat source, the plume precipitates minerals onto the ocean floor. Over time, the continual activity of the smokers and their mineral rich plumes create mineralized beds that become VMS deposits.

With the movement of the Earth’s tectonic plates, these mineral rich beds are transposed and can be found on land that was once underwater.

How Big Can VMS Deposits Get?

Current resource and historical production figures from 904 VMS deposits around the world average roughly 17 million tonnes (“Mt”), of which is approximately 1.7% copper, 3.1% zinc, and 0.7% lead.

A few giant mineral deposits (greater than 30 Mt) and several copper-rich and zinc-rich deposits of median tonnage (~2 Mt) skew the averages.

Several large VMS camps are known in Canada, including the Flin Flon, Bathurst and Noranda camps. The high-grade deposits within these camps are often in the range of five to 20 million tonnes of ore and can be much larger.

Meanwhile, approximately 90 VMS deposits have been discovered in the Iberian Pyrite Belt which runs through Portugal and Spain. Several of these are larger than 100 million tonnes, making this region one of the most significant hosts to VMS deposits in the world.

Categories
Base Metals Energy Precious Metals Project Generators

The Stage Is Set

BY John Hathaway | Tuesday, October 1, 2024

We believe the stage is set for a powerful advance in gold mining equities. While the 27.96% year-to-date advance in the bullion price could (but won’t necessarily) take a breather for the rest of 2024, significant catch-up potential for deeply undervalued gold miners has been barely exploited.

With gold trading at all-time highs, precious metals mining shares are just beginning to stir. GDX (VanEck Vectors Gold Miners ETF1 and a proxy for gold mining shares) has increased 30.30% year-to-date, only slightly more than the metal’s year-to-date gain of 27.96% (as of 9/30/2024). Looking at the five-year return comparison (10/1/2019 to 9/30/2024), mining stocks gained 47.91%, distantly lagging gold’s 78.11% rise.

We have addressed the disconnect between gold bullion and gold equities in previous commentaries. Gold stocks, in our opinion, are coiling for a sharp advance during the remainder of 2024. At the time of writing, GDX is breaking out above a five-year trading range that looks very similar, with a six-month lag, to gold’s breakout earlier this year.

Figure 1a./b. Gold Bullion vs. Gold Mining Stock Prices (2019-2024)

A line graph showing the price trend of a commodity over time, with a red resistance line and a green upward trend arrow.
Line graph showing the price trend of an equity from March 2019 to September 2023, with a highlighted resistance level.

Source: Bloomberg. Data as of 9/30/2024.

Favorable Fundamentals for Gold Miners

The investment fundamentals for miners have rarely been so favorable against a backdrop of such disinterest. The Q3 2024 average gold price (the most important single variable for miners’ earnings and cash flow) will exceed Q2 by 5.2% sequentially, and 2023 by 18.8% year-over-year. For many companies, production is weighted toward the second half; we believe we may see blockbuster Q3 earnings reports later in October and early November.

Looking ahead to 2025, we expect production costs to remain stable or even decline in the event of a recession. Profit margins could expand even if the U.S. dollar gold price marks time (which we don’t expect). Figure 2 depicts the relationship between gold and commodity prices (CRB Index2). A rising trend line tends to be exceptionally bullish for the earnings of gold miners.

Figure 2. Ratio of Gold Price to CRB Index (2022-2024)

Source: StockCharts.com. Data as of 8/30/2024.
Source: StockCharts.com. Data as of 8/30/2024.

Gold Is Still Underpriced

A key factor in the underperformance of mining shares is general disbelief that current gold bullion prices are sustainable or capable of further increase. In our view, the breakout in the gold price is not a fluke. The many contributing factors include (but are not limited to) de-dollarization, central bank buying, seemingly intractable U.S. fiscal issues, a possible recession, further monetary malpractice by the Federal Reserve (and other central banks) and the worrisome geopolitical landscape. Still, gold skeptics far outnumber believers. Proof can be seen in the forecasts for future gold prices from a broad array of financial firms (compiled by Beacon Securities; individual estimates by firm in Appendix A).

Figure 3. Gold Price Forecast

Table showing gold price forecasts for 2024 ($2,279), 2025 ($2,397), 2026 ($2,232), and 2027 ($2,096).

Who would invest in a gold mining stock with such a negative price outlook? While there are a few outliers, the consensus does not regard current prices as sustainable. We attribute collective bearishness to inattentiveness, lack of understanding, intellectual laziness, disinterest, and incompatibility with the groupthink underpinning mainstream financial market positioning.

For the sake of brevity, we will not elaborate here on the multiple forces (some admittedly speculative) that could power the further gains in monetary metals that we expect. Extensive commentary on our rationale can be found in our previous commentaries, as well as from many other observers.

Western Investors Continue to Ignore Gold

For now, it is enough to note that gold’s 78.12% five-year advance has occurred with almost no participation from U.S. and European investors. Negative investment flows have persisted in both ETFs backed by physical gold and mining stocks, as shown in Figures 4 and 5.

Figure 4. SPDR Gold Shares ETF (GLD) Change in Holdings by Year (2005-2024)

Source: Meridian Macro Research. Data as of 6/30/2024.
Source: Meridian Macro Research. Data as of 6/30/2024.

Figure 5. Current Shares Outstanding for GDX (2019-2024)

Source: Bloomberg. Data as of 9/30/2024.
Source: Bloomberg. Data as of 9/30/2024.

Figure 6 shows that the positioning of financial advisors to precious metals is at a five-year low.

Figure 6. Advisors Hold Little Gold (2017-2024)
Source: BofA Global Research. Data as of 2/26/2024.
Source: BofA Global Research. Data as of 2/26/2024.

When Western capital market investors decide to reallocate a small portion of their capital to gold, and there are multiple reasons why they might, the metal’s price will likely move higher. The impact on mining company shares, which collectively have a market capitalization approximately equal to Home Depot or Costco’s, would, in our opinion, substantially exceed the percentage increase in the metal’s price.

It is worth noting that following the launch of GLD (SPDR Gold Shares ETF)3 in 2004, inflows of approximately 38 million ounces were sufficient to help fuel a 300% rise in the gold price from slightly less than $600 to $1,900 in August 2011, a seven-year span. Since 2010, the quantity of money (M2)4 has increased 248% while the quantity of gold has increased (through mine output) only 22.2%. The quantity of U.S. dollars that could be exchanged for gold has increased 10x relative to the quantity of physical gold over the past 15 years.

Measured against the ratio of U.S. dollars to gold creation, the five-year 70% increase in the U.S. dollar gold price seems both sustainable and probably inadequate. Liquidity created by the Fed’s decade-long policy of ultra-low interest rates and QE (quantitative easing) initially found its way into overvalued equities and assorted other financial assets. A small leakage from those positions would represent enormous buying power relative to available metal.

Early-Stage Bull Market for Gold

The current bull market for gold is embryonic, in our opinion. The classic hallmarks of an early-stage bull market include widespread skepticism and general underpositioning. The inevitable transition of investor psychology from  pessimism to exuberance takes several years. Long-term investors in mining stocks are beginning to experience a small amount of daylight with the year-to-date rally.

The temptation to cash in gains that are paltry relative to years of unproductive returns is difficult to resist. We advise further patience. In our view, valuations remain exceptionally attractive assuming only the continuation of spot pricing for precious metals. Inflows into the tiny precious metals mining universe have barely started. The upside potential that likely lies ahead may be well worth any additional wait.

View Appendix A: Gold Price Forecasts by Company

Original Source: https://www.sprott.com/insights/sprott-gold-report-the-stage-is-set/