Categories
Base Metals Energy Junior Mining Oil & Gas

Peabody to Announce Results for the Quarter Ended June 30, 2024

ST. LOUIS, July 16, 2024 /PRNewswire/ — On Thursday, August 1, 2024, Peabody (NYSE: BTU) will announce results for the quarter ended June 30, 2024.  A conference call with management is scheduled for 10 a.m. CT on Thursday, August 1, 2024.

Instructions for the conference call participation and accessing a replay, as well as other investor data will be available at PeabodyEnergy.com prior to the call.

Participants may also access the call using the following phone numbers:

U.S. Toll Free                   1 833 816 1387
Canada Toll Free            1 866 284 3684
International Toll            1 412 317 0480

Peabody (NYSE: BTU) is a leading coal producer, providing essential products for the production of affordable, reliable energy and steel.  Our commitment to sustainability underpins everything we do and shapes our strategy for the future.  For further information, visit PeabodyEnergy.com.

Contact:
Karla Kimrey
314.342.7900

Peabody. (PRNewsFoto/Peabody Energy)
Peabody. (PRNewsFoto/Peabody Energy)
Cision
Cision

View original content to download multimedia:https://www.prnewswire.com/news-releases/peabody-to-announce-results-for-the-quarter-ended-june-30-2024-302197477.html

SOURCE PeabodyView Comments

Categories
Base Metals Emx Royalty Junior Mining Oil & Gas

EMX Royalty Announces the Appointment of Two New Members to the Board of Directors

Vancouver, British Columbia–(Newsfile Corp. – April 29, 2024) – EMX Royalty Corporation (NYSE American: EMX) (TSXV: EMX) (FSE: 6E9) (the “Company” or “EMX“) is pleased to announce the appointment of Mr. Dawson Brisco and Mr. Chris Wright as independent directors to the Board effective immediately.

Dawson Brisco

Mr. Brisco is a Professional Geologist with 20 years of mining industry and business development experience in a variety of roles in the bulk commodity, metals and energy sectors. Mr. Brisco is currently the President and CEO of Morien Resources Corp., a Canadian mining royalty company specialized in bulk commodities, a position he has held since 2018. Prior to joining Morien, Mr. Brisco held numerous senior business development and technical roles including senior manager of an exploration alliance with Xstrata in Asia from 2005 to 2010. Mr. Brisco is an independent Director of the Mining Association of Nova Scotia and holds an Honours Bachelor of Science degree in Geology from Saint Mary’s University in Halifax, Nova Scotia.

Chris Wright

Mr. Wright serves as Chief Executive Officer and Chairman of the Board of Liberty Energy. Mr. Wright is a dedicated humanitarian with a passion for bringing the benefits of energy to every community in the world. This passion has inspired a career in energy working not only in oil and gas but nuclear, solar, and geothermal. Mr. Wright embraces all sources of energy if they are abundant, affordable, and reliable.

Mr. Wright completed an undergraduate degree in Mechanical Engineering at MIT and graduate work in Electrical Engineering at both UC Berkeley and MIT. Mr. Wright founded Pinnacle Technologies and served as CEO from 1992 to 2006. Pinnacle created the hydraulic fracture mapping industry and its innovations helped launch commercial shale gas production in the late 1990s. Mr. Wright was Chairman of Stroud Energy, an early shale gas producer, before its sale to Range Resources in 2006. Additionally, Mr. Wright founded and served as Executive Chairman of Liberty Resources and Liberty Midstream Solutions until its sale in 2024. He also sits on the Board of Directors for Urban Solutions Group, and the Federal Reserve Bank, Denver Branch. In addition to his role at Liberty Energy, Mr. Wright serves on the board of numerous organizations and nonprofits, including a founding board member of the Bettering Human Lives Foundation.

About EMX – EMX is a precious, and base metals royalty company. EMX’s investors are provided with discovery, development, and commodity price optionality, while limiting exposure to risks inherent to operating companies. The Company’s common shares are listed on the NYSE American Exchange and TSX Venture Exchange under the symbol “EMX”. Please see www.EMXroyalty.com for more information.

For further information contact:

David M. Cole
President and CEO
Phone: (303) 973-8585
Dave@EMXroyalty.com

Scott Close
Director of Investor Relations
Phone: (303) 973-8585
SClose@EMXroyalty.com

Isabel Belger
Investor Relations (Europe)
Phone: +49 178 4909039
IBelger@EMXroyalty.com

Neither the TSX Venture Exchange nor its Regulation Services Provider (as that term is defined in policies of the TSX Venture Exchange) accepts responsibility for the adequacy or accuracy of this release

Forward-Looking Statements

This news release may contain “forward looking statements” that reflect the Company’s current expectations and projections about its future results. These forward-looking statements may include statements regarding EMX’s normal course issuer bid, the Company’s pre-defined plan with its broker to allow for the repurchase of Shares and the timing, number and price of Shares that may be purchased under the normal course issuer bid, or other statements that are not statements of fact. When used in this news release, words such as “estimate,” “intend,” “expect,” “anticipate,” “will”, “believe”, “potential” and similar expressions are intended to identify forward-looking statements, which, by their very nature, are not guarantees of the Company’s future operational or financial performance, and are subject to risks and uncertainties and other factors that could cause the Company’s actual results, performance, prospects or opportunities to differ materially from those expressed in, or implied by, these forward-looking statements. These risks, uncertainties and factors may include, but are not limited to the market price of the Shares being too high to ensure that purchases benefit the Company and its shareholders, and other factors.

Readers are cautioned not to place undue reliance on these forward-looking statements, which speak only as of the date of this news release or as of the date otherwise specifically indicated herein. Due to risks and uncertainties, including the risks and uncertainties identified in this news release, and other risk factors and forward-looking statements listed in the Company’s MD&A for the year ended December 31, 2023 (the “MD&A”), and the most recently filed Annual Information Form (“AIF”) for the year ended December 31, 2023, actual events may differ materially from current expectations. More information about the Company, including the MD&A, the AIF and financial statements of the Company, is available on SEDAR+ at www.sedarplus.ca and on the SEC’s EDGAR website awww.sec.gov.

To view the source version of this press release, please visit https://www.newsfilecorp.com/release/206843

Categories
Energy Junior Mining Oil & Gas

Peabody Provides Update on First Quarter 2024 Results

ST. LOUIS, April 11, 2024 /PRNewswire/ — Peabody (NYSE:BTU) today announced preliminary unaudited financial results for the first quarter of 2024. The company expects to report first quarter revenue of $980 million; income from continuing operations, net of income taxes of $45 million; and Adjusted EBITDA1 of $160 million. These amounts are estimates, actual first quarter 2024 financial results will be released on May 2, 2024.

Sales volumes in the first quarter were largely in-line with expectations for our seaborne segments while the U.S. thermal segments reported lower than expected shipments. The seaborne thermal segment shipped 4.0 million tons (including 2.5 million export tons), the seaborne met segment shipped 1.4 million tons, the PRB segment shipped 18.7 million tons and the Other U.S. thermal segment shipped 3.2 million tons.

First quarter results were impacted by the following factors: 1) unfavorable seaborne thermal coal mix as a result of lower production at Wambo due to an extended longwall ramp-up offset by additional production of lower quality coal at Wilpinjong; 2) lower average realized prices in the seaborne metallurgical coal segment due to HVA and PCI to HCC price relativities significantly below historical levels and mining of lower quality coal at the CMJV; 3) higher than anticipated costs at the CMJV from an unplanned dragline outage and the acceleration of planned coal prep plant repairs; 4) lower U.S. thermal volumes due to unseasonably warm weather and continued low natural gas prices; and 5) an approximate $18 million non-cash remeasurement of AUD denominated monetary assets.

“Our first quarter included some unforeseen production challenges that are now behind us,” said Peabody President and Chief Executive Officer Jim Grech. “The CMJV dragline and Wambo longwall are again operating on plan and Shoal Creek continues to exceed production expectations as we begin the second quarter.”

On Thursday, May 2, 2024, Peabody will announce results for the quarter ended March 31, 2024.  An investor conference call with management is scheduled for 10 a.m. CT on May 2, 2024.

Instructions for the conference call participation and accessing a replay, as well as other investor data will be available at PeabodyEnergy.com prior to the call.

Participants may also access the call using the following phone numbers:

U.S. Toll Free                      1 833 816 1387
Canada Toll Free               1 866 669 9657
International Toll               1 412 317 0480

Peabody (NYSE: BTU) is a leading coal producer, providing essential products for the production of affordable, reliable energy and steel.  Our commitment to sustainability underpins everything we do and shapes our strategy for the future.  For further information, visit PeabodyEnergy.com.

Contact:
Karla Kimrey
314.342.7890

1 Adjusted EBITDA is a non-GAAP financial measure. Please refer to the tables and related notes in this press release for a reconciliation and definition of non-GAAP financial measures.
Reconciliation of Non-GAAP Financial Measures (Unaudited)
For the Quarter Ended Mar. 31, 2024
(Dollars In Millions)
Note: Management believes that non-GAAP performance measures are used by investors to measure our operating performance. Thesemeasures are not intended to serve as alternatives to U.S. GAAP measures of performance and may not be comparable to similarly-titledmeasures presented by other companies.
Preliminary Estimate
Quarter Ended Mar. 2024
Income from Continuing Operations, Net of Income Taxes$                                              45
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization80
Asset Retirement Obligation Expenses13
Provision for NARM Loss2
Changes in Amortization of Basis Difference Related to Equity Affiliates(1)
Interest Expense15
Interest Income(19)
Unrealized Losses on Foreign Currency Option Contracts6
Take-or-Pay Contract-Based Intangible Recognition(1)
Income Tax Provision20
Adjusted EBITDA (1)$                                            160
(1)Adjusted EBITDA is defined as income from continuing operations before deducting net interest expense, income taxes, asset retirement obligation expenses and depreciation, depletion and amortization. Adjusted EBITDA is also adjusted for the discrete items that management excluded in analyzing each of our segment’s operating performance, as displayed in the reconciliation above. Adjusted EBITDA is used by management as the primary metric to measure each of our segment’s operating performance and allocate resources.
This information is intended to be reviewed in conjunction with the company’s filings with the SEC.

Forward-Looking Statements

This press release contains forward-looking statements within the meaning of the securities laws. Forward-looking statements can be identified by the fact that they do not relate strictly to historical or current facts. They often include words or variation of words such as “expects,” “anticipates,” “intends,” “plans,” “believes,” “seeks,” “estimates,” “projects,” “forecasts,” “targets,” “would,” “will,” “should,” “goal,” “could” or “may” or other similar expressions. Forward-looking statements provide management’s current expectations or predictions of future conditions, events or results. All statements that address operating performance, events, or developments that Peabody expects will occur in the future are forward-looking statements. They may include estimates of sales and other operating performance targets, cost savings, capital expenditures, dividends, share repurchases, other expense items, actions relating to strategic initiatives, demand for the company’s products, liquidity, capital structure, market share, industry volume, other financial items, descriptions of management’s plans or objectives for future operations and descriptions of assumptions underlying any of the above. The declaration and payment of future quarterly dividends remains at the discretion of the Board of Directors and will depend on the Company’s financial results, cash flow and cash requirements, future prospects, and other factors deemed relevant by the Board. All forward-looking statements speak only as of the date they are made and reflect Peabody’s good faith beliefs, assumptions and expectations, but they are not guarantees of future performance or events. Furthermore, Peabody disclaims any obligation to publicly update or revise any forward-looking statement, except as required by law. By their nature, forward-looking statements are subject to risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ materially from those suggested by the forward-looking statements. Factors that might cause such differences include, but are not limited to, a variety of economic, competitive and regulatory factors, many of which are beyond Peabody’s control, that are described in Peabody’s Annual Report on Form 10-K for the fiscal year ended Dec. 31, 2023 and other factors that Peabody may describe from time to time in other filings with the SEC. You may get such filings for free at Peabody’s website at www.peabodyenergy.com. You should understand that it is not possible to predict or identify all such factors and, consequently, you should not consider any such list to be a complete set of all potential risks or uncertainties. 

Peabody. (PRNewsFoto/Peabody Energy)
Peabody. (PRNewsFoto/Peabody Energy)
Cision
Cision

View original content to download multimedia:https://www.prnewswire.com/news-releases/peabody-provides-update-on-first-quarter-2024-results-302113700.html

SOURCE Peabody

Categories
Base Metals Exclusive Interviews Junior Mining Oil & Gas Precious Metals

Genesis AI: Utilizing AI to Solve ESG in Mining?

Website: https://www.genesisaicorp.com/

Genesis AI: CSE: AIG | OTCQB: AIGFF

Genesis AI is revolutionizing natural resource management and protection through artificial intelligence.

The company is developing real-world applications using AI and machine learning to address environmental and sustainability issues in mining.

The carbon module of Genesis AI is used by auditors and verifiers to ensure investments make sense and verify the existence of forests.

By turning data into intelligence, Genesis AI aims to improve efficiency, targeting, and information use in mining operations.

The company has digitized close to three terabytes of data, equivalent to about a quarter billion pages of documentation, to provide stratified tools for exploration companies.

Youtube
Rumble
Categories
Base Metals Energy Junior Mining Oil & Gas

Morien Provides Update on Black Point Royalty

Morien Resources Corp.
Morien Resources Corp.

HALIFAX, Nova Scotia, Nov. 01, 2023 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) — Morien Resources Corp. (“Morien” or the “Company“) (TSX-V:MOX), is pleased to announce that Vulcan Materials Company (“Vulcan”), owner of the Black Point Quarry Project (“BPQ Project” or the “Project”) in Guysborough County, Nova Scotia, is now advancing the Project. Vulcan has indicated a tentative, directional time goal of 18-months to complete various permit-related monitoring plans and commitments as outlined in the Project’s approved environmental assessment.

Morien owns an industry competitive production royalty (“Royalty”) payable on all material sold from the Project.

The BPQ Project hosts a large granite deposit along the southern shore of Chedabucto Bay in Guysborough County, Nova Scotia, with suitable characteristics for the development of a crushed stone marine export operation for supplying markets in the eastern United States. The expected mine life of the Project exceeds 50-years allowing for long-term, multi-generational economic prosperity in the Guysborough region. It is anticipated the operation will create 50-70 direct, full-time jobs in addition to creating multiple spin-off economic impacts in the region.

Since 2017, Morien has received an advanced minimum royalty payment of $25,000 per quarter from Vulcan, subjected to annual inflationary adjustments according to the Producer Price Index for crushed stone. All advanced payments are recorded by Morien as unearned revenue and will be credited against future production royalties from the Project. As at June 30, 2023, Morien’s total recorded unearned revenue amounted to $679,000. Morien is due a milestone payment from Vulcan in the amount of $400,000, to be paid upon the completion of related and pending permitting agreements for the Project.

About Vulcan

Vulcan Materials Company, a member of the S&P 500 Index with headquarters in Birmingham, Alabama, is the United States largest producer of construction aggregates – primarily crushed stone, sand and gravel – and a major producer of aggregates-based construction materials, including asphalt and ready-mixed concrete.

About Morien

Morien is a Nova Scotia based, mining development company created in 2012 to be a vehicle of direct prosperity for Nova Scotians, its largest shareholder group. Led by Nova Scotians, Morien’s primary assets are a royalty on the sale of coal from the producing Donkin Mine in Cape Breton, Nova Scotia, and a royalty on the sale of crushed stone from the permitted Black Point Quarry Project, in Guysborough County, Nova Scotia. Morien’s management team exercises ruthless discipline in managing both the assets and liabilities of the Company. The Company’s management and its Board of Directors consider shareholder returns to be paramount over corporate size, number or scale of assets and industry recognition. The Company has 51,292,000 issued and outstanding common shares and a fully diluted position of 54,192,000. Further information is available at www.MorienRes.com.

Forward-Looking Statements

Some of the statements in this news release may constitute “forward-looking information” as defined under applicable securities laws. These statements reflect Morien’s current expectations of future revenues and business prospects and opportunities and are based on information currently available to Morien. Morien cautions that actual performance will be affected by a number of factors, many of which are beyond its control, and that future events and results may vary substantially from what Morien currently foresees. Factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from those in forward-looking statements include risks and uncertainties described in documents filed by Morien with the Canadian securities regulators on SEDAR (www.sedar.com) from time to time. Morien cautions that its royalty revenue will be based on production by third party property owners and operators who will be responsible for determining the manner and timing for the properties forming part of Morien’s royalty portfolio. These third party owners and operators are also subject to risk factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from those predicted herein including: volatility in financial markets or general economic conditions; capital requirements and the need for additional financing; fluctuations in the rates of exchange for the currencies of Canada and the United States; prices for commodities including coal and aggregate; unanticipated changes in production, mineral reserves and mineral resources, metallurgical recoveries and/or exploration results; changes in regulations and unpredictable political or economic developments; loss of key personnel; labour disputes; and ineffective title to mineral claims or property. There are other business risks and hazards associated with mineral exploration, development and mining. Although Morien believes that the forward-looking information contained herein is based on reasonable assumptions (including assumptions relating to economic, market and political conditions, the Company’s working capital requirements and the accuracy of information supplied by the operators of the properties in which the Company has a royalty interest), readers cannot be assured that actual results will be consistent with such statements. Morien expressly disclaims any intention or obligation to update or revise any forward-looking information in this news release, whether as a result of new information, events or otherwise, except in accordance with applicable securities laws. All dollar values discussed herein are in Canadian dollars. Any financial outlook or future-oriented financial information in this news release, as defined by applicable securities laws, has been approved by management of Morien as of the date of this news release. Such financial outlook or future-oriented financial information is provided for the purpose of providing information about management’s current expectations and plans relating to the future. Readers are cautioned that such outlook or information should not be used for purposes other than for which it is disclosed in this news release.

Neither the TSX Venture Exchange nor its Regulation Services Provider (as that term is defined in the policies of the TSX Venture Exchange) accepts responsibility for the adequacy or accuracy of this release.

For more information, please contact:

Dawson Brisco, President & CEO
Phone: (902) 403-3149
dbrisco@MorienRes.com
or
John P.A. Budreski, Executive Chairman
Phone: (416) 930-0914
www.MorienRes.com

Categories
Energy Oil & Gas

Peabody to Announce Results for the Quarter Ended September 30, 2023

ST. LOUIS, Oct. 12, 2023 /PRNewswire/ — On Thursday, October 26, 2023, Peabody (NYSE: BTU) will announce results for the quarter ended September 30, 2023. A conference call with management is scheduled for 10 a.m. CT on Thursday, October 26, 2023.

Instructions for the conference call participation and accessing a replay, as well as other investor data will be available at PeabodyEnergy.com prior to the call.

Participants may also access the call using the following phone numbers:

U.S. Toll Free                   1 833 816 1387
Canada Toll Free             1 866 284 3684
International Toll              1 412 317 0480

Peabody (NYSE: BTU) is a leading coal producer, providing essential products for the production of affordable, reliable energy and steel. Our commitment to sustainability underpins everything we do and shapes our strategy for the future. For further information, visit PeabodyEnergy.com.

Contact:
Karla Kimrey
314.342.7900

Peabody. (PRNewsFoto/Peabody Energy)
Peabody. (PRNewsFoto/Peabody Energy)
Cision
Cision

View original content to download multimedia:https://www.prnewswire.com/news-releases/peabody-to-announce-results-for-the-quarter-ended-september-30-2023-301955374.html

SOURCE Peabody

Categories
Oil & Gas

Peabody Board Declares Dividend on Common Stock

ST. LOUIS, July 27, 2023 /PRNewswire/ — Peabody (NYSE: BTU) announced today that its Board of Directors has declared a quarterly dividend on its common stock of $0.075 per share, payable on August 30, 2023 to stockholders of record on August 10, 2023.

Peabody is a leading coal producer, providing essential products for the production of affordable, reliable energy and steel. Our commitment to sustainability underpins everything we do and shapes our strategy for the future. For further information, visit PeabodyEnergy.com.

Contact:
Karla Kimrey
314.342.7890

Forward-Looking Statements

This press release contains forward-looking statements within the meaning of the securities laws. Forward-looking statements can be identified by the fact that they do not relate strictly to historical or current facts. They often include words or variation of words such as “expects,” “anticipates,” “intends,” “plans,” “believes,” “seeks,” “estimates,” “projects,” “forecasts,” “targets,” “would,” “will,” “should,” “goal,” “could” or “may” or other similar expressions. Forward-looking statements provide management’s current expectations or predictions of future conditions, events or results. All statements that address operating performance, events, or developments that Peabody expects will occur in the future are forward-looking statements. They may include estimates of sales and other operating performance targets, cost savings, capital expenditures, dividends, share repurchases, other expense items, actions relating to strategic initiatives, demand for the company’s products, liquidity, capital structure, market share, industry volume, other financial items, descriptions of management’s plans or objectives for future operations and descriptions of assumptions underlying any of the above. The declaration and payment of future quarterly dividends remains at the discretion of the Board of Directors and will depend on the Company’s financial results, cash flow and cash requirements, future prospects, and other factors deemed relevant by the Board. All forward-looking statements speak only as of the date they are made and reflect Peabody’s good faith beliefs, assumptions and expectations, but they are not guarantees of future performance or events. Furthermore, Peabody disclaims any obligation to publicly update or revise any forward-looking statement, except as required by law. By their nature, forward-looking statements are subject to risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ materially from those suggested by the forward-looking statements. Factors that might cause such differences include, but are not limited to, a variety of economic, competitive and regulatory factors, many of which are beyond Peabody’s control, that are described in Peabody’s Annual Report on Form 10-K for the fiscal year ended Dec. 31, 2022 and Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q for the quarter ended March 31, 2023, and other factors that Peabody may describe from time to time in other filings with the SEC. You may get such filings for free at Peabody’s website at www.peabodyenergy.com. You should understand that it is not possible to predict or identify all such factors and, consequently, you should not consider any such list to be a complete set of all potential risks or uncertainties.

Peabody. (PRNewsFoto/Peabody Energy)
Peabody. (PRNewsFoto/Peabody Energy)
Cision
Cision

View original content to download multimedia:https://www.prnewswire.com/news-releases/peabody-board-declares-dividend-on-common-stock-301886847.html

SOURCE Peabody

Categories
Base Metals Diamcor Mining Dolly Varden Silver Energy Exclusive Interviews Junior Mining Lion One Metals Oil & Gas Precious Metals Silver Bullet Mines

Bob Moriarty – Mining, Metals, War

In this interview, we sit down with Bob Moriarty to discuss: ‘Moriarty’s First Law of Unintended Consequences‘ We discuss a broad range of topics ranging from the War in Ukraine, the importance of oil (fossil fuels), precious metals, and resource stocks! We also highlight the value thesis of contrarian investing/speculation.

Bob Moriarty is a renown for insights on junior mining and precious metals markets, as well as the common sense. This video is a great way to learn about the resource stocks tips, precious metals, how to analyze and exploit market conditions as a contrarian. Bob Moriarty the founder of 321gold.com visits us for an exclusive, one of a kind, interview to discuss a number of topics ranging from the War in Ukraine, Precious Metals (Bullion investments, and select junior mining companies (exploration stocks) that have his attention. If you are easily offended, this may not be for you. Bob Moriarty is a straight shooter that has the guts to say what others are afraid to say. We hope you enjoy!

Bob Moriarty: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Robert_J._Moriarty

Moriarty’s First Law of Unintended Consequences: https://bit.ly/3BGcdCI

The Pentagon’s Latest Terrorist Victim: Germany: https://bit.ly/3WiRywZ

A Christmas Treat for Aviation Lovers  Bob Moriarty (No Guts, No Glory): https://bit.ly/3jap3mo

WATCH THE VIDEO!!!!

The Best Video on Why and When to Buy and Sell Physical Precious Metals:

I’m a licensed broker for Miles Franklin Precious Metals InvestmentsThe Only Online Dealer that is Licensed and Bonded (Period)! Where we provide unlimited options to expand your precious metals portfolio, from:

Website| www.provenandprobable.com
Call me directly at 855.505.1900 or email: Maurice@MilesFranklin.com
Precious Metals FAQ – https://www.milesfranklin.com/faq-maurice/

Categories
Exclusive Interviews Junior Mining Oil & Gas

JPMorgan Sees ‘Stratospheric’ $380 Oil on Worst-Case Russian Cut

By

Joe Carroll July 1, 2022 at 3:59 PM EDT

In this article

CL1WTI Crude108.43USD/bbl.+2.67+2.52%JPMJPMORGAN CHASE114.05USD+1.44+1.28%

Global oil prices could reach a “stratospheric” $380 a barrel if US and European penalties prompt Russia to inflict retaliatory crude-output cuts, JPMorgan Chase & Co. analysts warned.

The Group of Seven nations are hammering out a complicated mechanism to cap the price fetched by Russian oil in a bid to tighten the screws on Vladimir Putin’s war machine in Ukraine. But given Moscow’s robust fiscal position, the nation can afford to slash daily crude production by 5 million barrels without excessively damaging the economy, JPMorgan analysts including Natasha Kaneva wrote in a note to clients.

For much of the rest of the world, however, the results could be disastrous. A 3 million-barrel cut to daily supplies would push benchmark London crude prices to $190, while the worst-case scenario of 5 million could mean “stratospheric” $380 crude, the analysts wrote.

“The most obvious and likely risk with a price cap is that Russia might choose not to participate and instead retaliate by reducing exports,” the analysts wrote. “It is likely that the government could retaliate by cutting output as a way to inflict pain on the West. The tightness of the global oil market is on Russia’s side.”

Original Source: https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-07-01/jpmorgan-sees-stratospheric-380-oil-on-worst-case-russian-cut