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Junior Mining

Rudi Fronk | Seabridge Gold – Leverage Play To Rising Gold Prices

Mar 14, 2019 02:37 pm

By Remy Blaire

Rudi Fronk, Chairman and CEO of Seabridge Gold.

GOLD ILLUMINATES MATERIALS SECTOR

Gold recovered the $1,300 level and came off lows of the month as the dollar weakened and as Brexit jitters permeated investor sentiment. After regaining its highest level in two weeks the precious metal tested a resistance level of $1,307 an ounce. Spot gold for April delivery managed to settle above $1,309 an ounce in midweek trade but retreated below the $1,300 level as the U.S. currency strengthened on Thursday.

Concerns about the slowdown in global growth and the outcome over the U.S.-China tariff dispute are ongoing. Yet the broader market has come off recent lows and recovered from the Christmas Eve bear market of 2018. The Federal Reserve’s “patient” approach to interest rate hikes and the possibility of an “adjustment” to the unwinding of is balance sheet have supported the market turnaround.

It’s been a wild ride for gold and now the yellow metal may be past the inversion phase of the recent rollercoaster ride. U.S. economic data is lukewarm but supportive of the Fed’s current position on rate hikes.

On Wednesday, the U.K. Parliament rejected a no-deal Brexit. In a close decision, MPs voted to reject leaving the EU without a withdrawal agreement. On Thursday, MPs will vote on delaying Brexit and request an extension to Article 50. If the vote passes and the EU agrees – the U.K. will not leave on March 29.

On this side of the Atlantic, U.S. equities continued to recover with the DJIA eyeing the so-called “golden cross” chart pattern. The benchmark equity average could see its 50-day moving average (DMA) cross above the 200-DMA. While the technical indicator could point to a long-term bull market, the breakout pattern is a lagging one and never a guarantee of future performance.

SURVIVAL OF THE FITTEST IN GOLD MINING

Gold mining stocks can be an indicator of how the gold market is faring. The stocks are oftentimes seen as a way to get leveraged exposure to gold prices.

The biggest players in the sector are making headlines for mergers and venture announcements. Barrick Gold Corp and Newmont Mining Corp formed a joint venture in Nevada. Earlier this year, Newmont Mining acquired Goldcorp, creating the largest gold miner in the world. Several months ago Barrick Gold scooped up Randgold Resources.

In the aftermath of the 2011 commodity crash there were expectations of more mergers for the junior mining companies. The deals that took place among the gold miners in 2018 totaled over $59 billion but amounted to less than half the sum seen during the peak in 2011.

At the same time, there have been other notable deals recently including Newcrest Mining’s move into Canada. Newcrest and Imperial Metals agreed to a joint venture for a majority stake in a B.C. mine. Meanwhile, Newcrest also entered into a deal with Greatland Gold for a gold-copper project.

SEABRIDGE GOLD – IRON CAP GOLD AND COPPER RESOURCES AMPLIFIED

Seabridge Gold (TSX: SEA) (NYSE: SA)  is a development stage company based in Toronto, ON. The company’s main projects include the Kerr-Sulphurets-Mitchell (KSM) property in British Columbia, the Courageous Lake property in the Northwest Territories, the Iksut Property located in NW B.C.

Seabridge evaluates, acquires and is involved in the exploration and development of gold properties in North America and has other resource projects on the continent. The Snowstorm Project is located in Nevada at the intersection of the main gold trends in the northern region on the U.S. state.

The KSM project is one of the world’s largest undeveloped gold projects in the world. Seabridge Gold recently announced an updated independent mineral resource estimate for its Iron Cap deposit. This deposit is one of four gold and copper porphyry deposits within the KSM project. Worthy of note is that the project is 100% owned by Seabridge.

The company updated its resource estimate for its Iron Cap project that boosts the project’s indicated resource by 460,000 ounces gold and 177 million pounds copper. In turn the project’s inferred resource is expanded by 7.45 million ounces gold and 4 billion pounds copper.

Rick Rule, president and CEO of Sprott U.S. Holdings spoke with Seabridge Gold’s CEO, Rudi Fronk for a brief interview segment. After the latest Iron Cap update, Fronk remarked that the new estimate could lead to the company prioritizing the deposit ahead of others in the overall project plan:

The “exploration success at Iron Cap … gives us greater flexibility to optimize project economics. Iron Cap is closer to infrastructure than Kerr and Sulphurets and its development could be faster and less costly … Iron Cap clearly has the size and grade to justify early inclusion in the mining sequence.”

Fronk says the Iron Cap “resource additions … have met our annual corporate objective of increasing gold ownership on a per share basis. In 2018, our shares outstanding increased by approximately 3.6 million shares resulting from new financings to fund our programs plus other share issuances.”

Seabridge Gold has a market capitalization of nearly $1 billion.

Listen to Rick Rule’s interview with Seabridge Gold’s Chairman and CEO, Rudi Fronk. To hear Fronk’s thesis on gold and learn about Seabridge’s track record and global resources:

http://traffic.libsyn.com/sprottmedia/Seabridge_Gold_Rudi_Fronk.mp3
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Generally, natural resources investments are more volatile on a daily basis and have higher headline risk than other sectors as they tend to be more sensitive to economic data, political and regulatory events as well as underlying commodity prices. Natural resource investments are influenced by the price of underlying commodities like oil, gas, metals, coal, etc.; several of which trade on various exchanges and have price fluctuations based on short-term dynamics partly driven by demand/supply and also by investment flows. Natural resource investments tend to react more sensitively to global events and economic data than other sectors, whether it is a natural disaster like an earthquake, political upheaval in the Middle East or release of employment data in the U.S. Low priced securities can be very risky and may result in the loss of part or all of your investment.  Because of significant volatility,  large dealer spreads and very limited market liquidity, typically you will  not be able to sell a low priced security immediately back to the dealer at the same price it sold the stock to you. In some cases, the stock may fall quickly in value. Investing in foreign markets may entail greater risks than those normally associated with domestic markets, such as political, currency, economic and market risks. You should carefully consider whether trading in low priced and international securities is suitable for you in light of your circumstances and financial resources. Past performance is no guarantee of future returns. Sprott Global, entities that it controls, family, friends, employees, associates, and others may hold positions in the securities it recommends to clients, and may sell the same at any time.
 
 
 

Categories
Energy Junior Mining Oil & Gas

Energy Has A Little Gas Left In The Tank


Original Source: https://www.allpennystocks.com/allpennypro/article.aspx?articleid=27658
Thursday, March 14, 2019

As we evaluate different sectors, we consider a wide swath of factors, such as what they’ve done over the last year, how they typically perform in this type of political and fiscal policy environment and even if the particular time of the year has an effect. To be completely transparent, we considered utilities and REITS, which this week broke out to record highs. The technician in us says the breakout should carry those sectors higher, in part because they benefit from the Federal Reserve taking a more dovish stance on raising interest rates. Our only trepidation is that if we start seeing signs of greater economic strength, traders might turn their backs on these sectors, causing the run to turn over.
Rather than talk about what we didn’t select to discuss this month (apologies…we couldn’t leave out that commentary), we’d like to advise investors to keep an eye on the energy sector, which is a collection of stocks spanning energy businesses like oil, gas, consumable fuel, renewable/alternative, services and equipment. For starters, March has historically been a solid month for the Energy Select Sector SPDR (NYSE:XLE), the benchmark ETF for energy plays. According to CXO Advisory data, XLE has been the best performing SPDR ETF in March since the SPDR ETFs began trading 20 years ago. So far, XLE is up 1.12% this month, compared to its average return of 2.9%.
Even better, XLE is also the top performer in April at 3.7%. If that trend will continue, the energy sector will add to a solid 2019 to date, where it is ahead by about 15% through Wednesday. That’s a nice recovery after energy was the S&P 500’s worst performing sector in 2018 with XLE shedding 18.2%.
In fairness, a lot of the gain has been at the hands of Chevron (NYSE:CVX) and Exxon Mobil (NYSE:XOM), as the two oil stalwarts cumulatively comprise more than 40% of XLE’s weight (XOM: 23.36%, CVX: 19.72%). Both stocks are up more than 10% in 2019, carrying XLE higher.
Since printing $107 in June 2014, spot oil prices fell off a cliff, plummeting as low as $26.05 in February 2016 before turning things around. The clear culprit for the steep drop was oversupply, a problem that looms globally today. On the strength of the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) and its allies going to great lengths to curb output and support oil prices, spot crude climbed back to a $40-$55 range for more than a year before making the next leg up in November 2017 to swell to a high of $76.90 in October 2018. Subsequently, another collapse occurred, driving oil back down to a low of $42.36 in December. Another recovery has ensued in 2019, lifting oil prices back to the upper $50’s.
While energy stocks are frequently bootstrapped to the price of a barrel of oil, we expect a little bit of a slingshot effect based on fundamentals, not oil prices, in the future. This is due to the fact that earnings actually grew in the energy sector in 2018, but the market failed to reflect the expansion. To that point, there has been no improvement in valuation metrics between current levels and when oil was bottoming near $26 a barrel in 2016. In fact, XLE trades at a slightly lower valuation than the 15x trailing 12-month earnings that it did back when oil bottomed in February 2016.
In addition to oversupply, there are other factors that have a choke hold on confidence in the oil and gas industry. Namely, regulation is a concern. Eldar Sætre, CEO of Equinor, Norway’s biggest energy company, acknowledged this on Monday at the CERAWeek by IHS Markit conference, noting that environmental issues threaten the industry and that O&G companies must unitedly take a progressive approach to combat emissions and pollution.
So, with a large shortfall in demand versus supply and environmental issues that can’t be rapidly corrected, why are we bullish on energy? The answer is: “just for right now.” We’re looking at the sector for the next six weeks of so and we’ll have to see what happens come summer (the driving season) and reassess gasoline inventories to get a better understanding on potential market direction. What we are also banking on is history and the fact that the energy sector has typically been an outperformer March and April.

This dive into the sector uncovered many beaten down companies in the small or microcaps space that have languished with the sell-off in energy at the end of last year. It’s fair to say that energy plays abound in the microcap space, but we recommend sticking to those generating revenue, whether it be a producer like the three below or a services company like Profire Energy (NASDAQ:PFIE).
Broadly speaking, there is no shortage of companies that can be argued as value plays given depressed valuations as Wall Street questions the energy sector at the moment.
Jericho Oil Corp. (OTCPK:JROOF) (TSX-Venture:JCO), is focused on domestic, liquids-rich unconventional resource plays, located primarily in the oil-prone Meramec and Osage formations in the Anadarko basin STACK Play of Oklahoma, a region trumpeted by some as the next great U.S. oil play. To that point, majors likes ExxonMobil, Chesapeake Energy, Sandridge Energy and Chaparral Energy continue to put considerable capital resources in and around Jericho’s STACK acreage position. Jericho has assembled an interest in 55,000 net acres across Oklahoma, including an interest in ~16,000 net acres in the STACK Play. The Tulsa-based company recently released preliminary 2018 full-year partnership production, which hit a record high of approximately 297,000 barrels of oil equivalent (BOE), up 33% from 2017’s total. Furthermore, Jericho cut operating expenses by 30% to about $17.00/BOE. At 42 Canadian cents per share, JCO is commanding a market cap of just $54 million.
Northern Oil and Gas, Inc. (NYSE American:NOG), which runs a non-operator model, also delivered record results in 2018. The company controls leasehold of approximately 157,000 net acres targeting the Williston Basin Bakken and Three Forks formations in North Dakota and Montana, and approximately 93% of its total acreage position was developed, held by production or held by operations. During Q4, production increased 117% over the prior year and 36% over the prior quarter, averaging a record of 36,258 BOE per day. Furthermore, lease operating expenses and general and administrative expenses were each down 26% per BOE from the prior year. For all of 2018, production increased 73% year-over-year, averaging a record 25,555 BOE per day. The company was profitable, generating net income of $143.7 million, or 61 cents per diluted share, reversing from a net loss of 15 cents per diluted share in 2017. Shares of NOG got more than halved from a 52-week high ($4.49) in October to an eight-month low at $1.87 in December. The stock is trying to make up some lost ground, trending back into the mid-$2 range as it closes in on a $1 billion market cap.
Lonestar Resources US (NASDAQ:LONE) is another that recently pumped out more oil than it had ever before in a quarter. Lonestar is an independent oil and natural gas company, focused on the development, production and acquisition of unconventional oil, NGLs (natural gas liquids) and natural gas properties in the Eagle Ford Shale in Texas. The company has accumulated approximately 78,193 gross (57,491 net) acres in what it believes to be the formation’s crude oil and condensate windows. For the fourth quarter, Lonestar reported an 81% increase in net oil and gas production to 13,152 BOE per day, compared to 7,272 BOE per day for the three months ended December 31, 2017. The company’s record production volumes exceeded its guidance of 12,600 – 12,800 BOE/D and were 80% crude oil and NGL’s on an equivalent basis. Lonestar reported net income of $75.2 million during 4Q18 compared to a net loss of $17.6 million during 4Q17, while citing certain non-recurring items in the big gain. Excluding those items, Lonestar’s adjusted net income for 4Q18 was $5.4 million, or $0.22 per basic common share. Lonestar has reiterated its previously-issued 2019 production guidance of 13,700 to 14,700 BOE per day for 2019, which equates to production growth of 27% over 2018 levels. Last July, shares of LONE traded as high as $11.24 before diving to a low of $3.41 in December. Shares are currently trading at $4.27, equarting to a market capitalization of approximately $105 million.
 

Categories
Base Metals Junior Mining

NEVADA COPPER | Pumpkin Hollow Progress and Construction Update

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Junior Mining

IRVING RESOURCES Commences Diamond Drilling at its Omu Gold Project in Hokkaido, Japan

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Junior Mining

CALIBRE MINING Exploration and Drilling Update at the Eastern Borosi Project in Nicaragua

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Base Metals Junior Mining Project Generators

FISSION 3 Completes Binding Earn-In Agreement for up to $22mm with Rhyolite

Categories
Junior Mining

ANACONDA MINING Announces $5 Million Term Loan with Royal Bank of Canada

TORONTO , March 12, 2019 /CNW/ – Anaconda Mining Inc. (“Anaconda” or the “Company”) – (ANX.TO) (ANXGF) is pleased to announce that it has entered into a $5 million term loan (the “Facility”) from the Royal Bank of Canada (“RBC”). The Facility will provide the Company with enhanced financial flexibility and allow it to complete all pre-construction activity at its 100%-owned Goldboro Gold Project in Nova Scotia (“Goldboro”) without further equity financing. In 2019, Anaconda expects to finalize a feasibility study for Goldboro and complete all work required to obtain mining permits to be shovel-ready in early 2020. The Facility was arranged with the support of Export Development Canada (“EDC”), which has issued a performance guarantee over half of the principal amount.

“The financial commitment from RBC and EDC demonstrates their confidence in the Anaconda management team, the continued cash flow generation at the Point Rousse Project, and our overall ability to advance our growth plans in Atlantic Canada . The Facility now enables us to execute on our business plan in an accelerated, focused manner, with our debt service obligations easily funded from our mine operations. This Facility, combined with our continued free cash flow generation from the Point Rousse Project, will enable us to advance the Goldboro Gold Project to a construction-decision stage in early 2020, at an exceptionally low cost of capital and without any dilution to our shareholders.”

~ Dustin Angelo , President and CEO

Terms of the Facility

The Facility is repayable monthly over a 24-month term with certain prepayment options. It is subject to an existing general security agreement with RBC and a debt service coverage ratio covenant to be measured on an annual basis, based on a ratio of a measure of earnings to interest expense and scheduled principal payments. The Facility was arranged with the support of EDC, which has issued a performance guarantee over half the principal amount. The Facility carries a fixed interest rate of 4.6% and performance guarantee fee by EDC of 1.85%, payable quarterly based on the proportional amount outstanding. The full $5 million has now been drawn and the initial monthly payment is due 30 days from drawdown.

ABOUT ANACONDA

Anaconda Mining is a TSX and OTCQX-listed gold mining, development, and exploration company, focused in the prospective Atlantic Canadian jurisdictions of Newfoundland and Nova Scotia . The Company operates the Point Rousse Project located in the Baie Verte Mining District in Newfoundland , comprised of the Stog’er Tight Mine, the Pine Cove open pit mine, the Argyle Mineral Resource, the fully-permitted Pine Cove Mill and tailings facility, deep water port, and approximately 9,150 hectares of prospective gold-bearing property. Anaconda is also developing the Goldboro Gold Project in Nova Scotia , a high-grade Mineral Resource, subject to a 2018 a preliminary economic assessment which demonstrates a strong project economics. The Company also has a wholly owned exploration company that is solely focused on early stage exploration in Newfoundland and New Brunswick .

ABOUT EDC

Export Development Canada (EDC) is a financial Crown corporation dedicated to helping Canadian companies of all sizes succeed on the world stage. As international risk experts, EDC equips Canadian companies with the tools they need – the trade knowledge, financing solutions, investments, insurance, and connections – to take on the world with confidence. Underlying all of EDC’s support is a commitment to sustainable and responsible business.

FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENTS

This news release contains “forward-looking information” within the meaning of applicable Canadian and United States securities legislation. Generally, forward-looking information can be identified by the use of forward-looking terminology such as “plans”, “expects”, or “does not expect”, “is expected”, “budget”, “scheduled”, “estimates”, “forecasts”, “intends”, “anticipates”, or “does not anticipate”, or “believes” or variations of such words and phrases or state that certain actions, events or results “may”, “could”, “would”, “might”, or “will be taken”, “occur”, or “be achieved”. Forward-looking information is based on the opinions and estimates of management at the date the information is made, and is based on a number of assumptions and is subject to known and unknown risks, uncertainties and other factors that may cause the actual results, level of activity, performance or achievements of Anaconda to be materially different from those expressed or implied by such forward-looking information, including risks associated with the exploration, development and mining such as economic factors as they effect exploration, future commodity prices, changes in foreign exchange and interest rates, actual results of current production, development and exploration activities, government regulation, political or economic developments, environmental risks, permitting timelines, capital expenditures, operating or technical difficulties in connection with development activities, employee relations, the speculative nature of gold exploration and development, including the risks of diminishing quantities of grades of resources, contests over title to properties, and changes in project parameters as plans continue to be refined as well as those risk factors discussed in Anaconda’s annual information form for the year ended December 31, 2018 , available on www.sedar.com. Although Anaconda has attempted to identify important factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from those contained in forward-looking information, there may be other factors that cause results not to be as anticipated, estimated or intended. There can be no assurance that such information will prove to be accurate, as actual results and future events could differ materially from those anticipated in such information. Accordingly, readers should not place undue reliance on forward-looking information. Anaconda does not undertake to update any forward-looking information, except in accordance with applicable securities laws.

SOURCE Anaconda Mining Inc.

View original content: http://www.newswire.ca/en/releases/archive/March2019/12/c4239.html

Categories
Junior Mining

Field Work Targeting High-Grade Gold at Yandicoogina, Pilbara, WA

VANCOUVER , March 12, 2019 /CNW/ – Pacton Gold Inc. (TSXV: PAC, OTC: PACXF) (the “Company” or “Pacton“) is pleased to announce the commencement of initial field work at Pacton’s Yandicoogina Project, where historical results from surface sampling have reported up to 199.7 g/t Au. The work program is targeting high-grade, shear-hosted gold within a number of mineralization settings and will use rock chip sampling and mapping to prioritize targets for drill testing.

Highlights:

  • Strike length: 4.7 km cumulative strike length of mapped anomalous quartz vein structures hosting gold mineralization.
  • Historical sampling results show strong gold mineralization in multiple locations:Rock chip sampling reported results of up to 199.7 g/t Au at surface (Western Australia Geological Survey).
  • Prioritizing targets for upcoming drill program: Results from the current program will be used to rank targets based on further exploration potential and to prioritize for drill testing planned for 2019.
Figure 1. Pacton's Yandicoogina Project. Note: Geology, historic locations and grades were obtained from Western Australia Geological Survey archives. Grades noted in Figure 1, and historic mine production statistics of 198.8 kg from 3,232 t of ore yielding an average grade of 61.52 g/t gold do not conform to current disclosure standards, and are not to be relied upon. (CNW Group/Pacton Gold Inc.)
Figure 1. Pacton’s Yandicoogina Project. Note: Geology, historic locations and grades were obtained from Western Australia Geological Survey archives. Grades noted in Figure 1, and historic mine production statistics of 198.8 kg from 3,232 t of ore yielding an average grade of 61.52 g/t gold do not conform to current disclosure standards, and are not to be relied upon. (CNW Group/Pacton Gold Inc.)

Dale Ginn , Executive Chairman of Pacton Gold, stated, “Pacton’s Yandicoogina project hosts high-grade gold bearing systems that are readily apparent and exposed at surface. It also has coarse nuggets from surface prospecting that appear to be from a vein source and have not been subjected to significant transportation. What the project lacks is any significant amount of drilling to depth. Our initial program will therefore focus on prioritizing targets for drill testing the high-grade concentrations at Yandicoogina.”

Yandicoogina Project

The Yandicoogina Gold Project is located 52 km to the south east of Marble Bar in the Pilbara Region of Western Australia . The Project covers a contiguous land holding of 164 km2 consisting of two granted exploration tenements (E45/3474 and E45/3571) and three granted mining leases located inside tenement (E45/3474).

Access to the project from Marble Bar is via the Marble Bar Road to the south east thence via station tracks which take you toward the Black Shepherd Mine.

The Project covers an extensive portion of the Warrawoona Archaean Greenstone Belt. Previous exploration activities have predominantly focused towards the greenstone portion of the project with a considerably limited effort placed on the Mt Edgar Mylonite Complex which is host to the high-grade Death Adder and Granite Prospects.

The initial work program will involve detailed geological mapping and rock chip sampling of priority defined prospects including Granite, Death Adder, Black Shepherd, Uncle Tom and Trilby. Through completing this first phase of activities a further understanding of the controls and extents of mineralisation for each of the prospects will be obtained. Prioritization, drill planning and permitting to drill will commence immediately following the completion of the initial work program.

About Pacton Gold

Pacton Gold is a Canadian exploration company with key strategic partners focused on the exploration and development of high grade conglomerate and orogenic gold properties located in the district-scale Pilbara gold rush in Western Australia and the Red Lake District, Ontario .

The technical content of this news release has been reviewed and approved by Dale Ginn , P.Geo., a director and Executive Chairman of the Company and a Qualified Person pursuant to National Instrument 43-101. The qualified person has not yet verified the data disclosed, including sampling, analytical, and test data underlying the information or opinions contained in the written disclosure.

On Behalf of the Board of Pacton Gold Inc.

Dale Ginn
Executive Chairman

This news release may contain or refer to forward-looking information based on current expectations, including, but not limited to the Company achieving success in exploring its properties and the impact on the Company of these events, including the effect on its share price. Forward-looking information is subject to significant risks and uncertainties, as actual results may differ materially from forecasted results. Forward-looking information is provided as of the date hereof and we assume no responsibility to update or revise such information to reflect new events or circumstances. References to other issuers with nearby projects is for information purposes only and there are no assurances the Company will achieve similar results.

Neither TSX Venture Exchange, the Toronto Stock Exchange nor their Regulation Services Provider (as that term is defined in the policies of the TSX Venture Exchange) accepts responsibility for the adequacy or accuracy of this release.

Pacton Gold Inc. (CNW Group/Pacton Gold Inc.)
Pacton Gold Inc. (CNW Group/Pacton Gold Inc.)
Cision
Cision

View original content to download multimedia:http://www.prnewswire.com/news-releases/field-work-targeting-high-grade-gold-at-yandicoogina-pilbara-wa-300810576.html

SOURCE Pacton Gold Inc.

View original content to download multimedia: http://www.newswire.ca/en/releases/archive/March2019/12/c6373.html

Categories
Base Metals Junior Mining

FISSION Hits Strong Mineralization Outside of Current High-Grade Domain Model and Advances Mine Planning

Categories
Junior Mining Precious Metals

Book Review: Basic Investing in Resource Stocks-The Idiot’s Guide, by Robert Moriarty

By Jayant Bhandari / March 09, 2019 / Article Link

In the recent years investors have lost a lot of money in the resource sector. This shouldn’t have been the case had investors paid attention to the work of Bob Moriarty. Exactly when the sector was losing money, Mr. Moriarty was investing in resource stocks—of the likes of Novo Resources and Irving Resources—that made him 10 to 20 times his investment. In some cases, more.
As Warren Buffet says, “People make investing… more difficult than it should be.”
In his book, “Basic Investing in Resource Stocks—the Idiot’s Guide,” Mr. Moriarty provides a common-sense approach to investing in the resource sector.
“You will make mistakes when investing, but make sure you make new ones.”
Those who have focused their investment life in the resource sector, as I have, tend to think that it is full of idiots and liars, or those living a lifestyle using shareholder money. Mr. Moriarty thinks that other sectors are worse.
Referring to the cryptocurrency mania—which he calls “Bitcon”—about which he started writing on 321gold when it was peaking, he says that total value of Bitcon has fallen from $800 billion to $136 billion. I thought that there was a typo. Had he written “billions” instead of “millions?” But his wasn’t an error. A massive amount of money has changed hands, from gullible people to conmen or street-smart traders.
But the biggest con of all is the fiat currency system that surreptitiously steals people’s money and puts the future generation into bondage. This cannot continue. A “great reset” awaits, for there are far too many systemic risks today.
A product of the fiat currency is the derivative business, a boondoggle that poses significant systemic risks.
All debts must be paid, and the world is awash with it. There are far too many black swans for one not to come into the scene. “The Gilets Jaunes movement of France is merely the opening scene,” says Mr Moriarty. That is where protecting oneself from what is another person’s liability is important, making gold (or silver or platinum or palladium or rhodium) one of the ways to preserve one’s wealth.
In the investment space, a lot of wealth is getting destroyed, misallocated or moving into the hands of conmen, private or public, leaving gullible investors high and dry. What one must learn early on is the concept of probabilities before one starts throwing one’s dice.
One, however, cannot depend on the advice of “experts,” which reminds me of “Nobody Knows Anything,” another book by Mr. Moriarty.
Mr. Moriarty advises people to have the courage—once they have studied their homework properly—to have contrarian thinking, even if it goes completely against the emotions of the market.
There is legitimate information in the market and there is noise. Internet should have made it easier for information to flow freely. Alas, it is noise that has grown bigger than the real signal.
“Change your mind when information changes” makes common-sense, except that most people are resistant to changing their views. The end result is that 90% of investors lose money. While Mr. Moriarty advises not to be a part of that 90%, he is happy they exist, to help him make the extra money.
Read the above words of wisdom in his short and sweet book, including the description of the resource industry, and some saucy stories of his investments.
Jayant Bhandari

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