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SPROTT MEDIA Markets Admonish Fed: Powell Sends Stocks Tumbling

Markets Admonish Fed: Powell Sends Stocks Tumbling

Dec 21, 2018 05:20 pm

By Albert Lu

Photo Source: The Federal Reserve
Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell spoke and the market didn’t like what it heard.
“Powell basically told you the Fed put is dead,” was hedge fund titan David Tepper’s assessment of the chairman’s prepared remarks delivered on Wednesday, following the Fed’s scheduled two-day policy meeting.
“Everything is tight. Chinese money growth is plummeting. ECB cutting the last of QE. And Fed still in tightening mode.”
True, monetary conditions are tightening. But are the days of the proverbial Fed put — the Fed’s tacit commitment to support stock prices with easy money in times of turmoil — really over?
Hard to believe.
MARKET SELLOFF
Equity markets were calm, even optimistic, going into this week’s policy announcement. However, sentiment changed abruptly on Wednesday following Powell’s announcement of a 25 basis point increase in the Federal Funds Rate, with two additional hikes planned for 2019.
The selloff continued through the rest of the week with the Dow Jones Industrial Average losing over 500 points on Thursday to reach a 14-month low. The NASDAQ entered bear market territory, dropping to 6333 on Friday. The Dow Jones Industrial Average and the S&P 500 monthly performance reached the worst point since October 2008, with the latter on pace for the worst December since 1931.
The losses extended to crude oil, which slipped 4.8% on Thursday to $45.88, a 17-month low.
The stock volatility and weakening dollar boosted precious metals. Spot gold jumped over 1% on Thursday to reach its highest price since July. Silver also rose, hitting a high of $14.82 per ounce, before falling back on Friday to $14.68.
THEY HAVE NO EMPATHY
No shortage of criticism has followed Wednesday’s decision. The Fed’s change in direction, though dovish on the surface, was clearly not dovish enough to please critics, such as DoubleLine’s Jeffrey Gundlach, who criticized Powell’s robotic approach to unwinding the central bank’s balance sheet.

Jay Powell made two mistakes today at the presser:

1.) Autopilot QT
2.) Too much talk about economic “modeling”
The stock bear growls on.
— Jeffrey Gundlach (@TruthGundlach) December 20, 2018

Tepper also raised the balance sheet unwind as a key concern.
“The net biggest issuance of Treasuries and worldwide fixed income is coming next year. Something is going to get crowded out. Bonds stocks etc.”
James Bianco, president of Bianco Research, believes two rate hikes in 2019 is too many.
“The market was pricing in less than one rate hike for next year … the Fed, in September, was at three. They came down from three to two.”
“So, it was not dovish enough for the market on the initial reaction.”
Jim Cramer of CNBC was measured in his response, at least in comparison to his infamous 2007 on-air rant.
“The Fed is perfectly happy to gradually strangle the economy, the U.S. economy, in order to stamp out inflation, or the potential of inflation. And that’s bad news for corporate earnings.”
“Powell’s the one who’s wrong. His apologists have no sense of empathy for what’s about to happen to the working man.”
“[Janet Yellen] would have been a lot more prudent and a lot less reckless with these plans.”
But what Cramer believes is going to happen to the working man has already happened.
THE BIG INFLATIONARY LIE

Cramer believes that by removing the punch bowl just as wage rates are showing signs of rising, Powell is delivering a blow to the average worker. What he doesn’t understand is this damage was done long ago by people, such as Yellen, who are long gone.

Low interest rates benefit those who can borrow. Central bank asset purchases benefit those who own assets.
Neither policy benefits the poor paycheck-to-paycheck employee.
And since accommodative action by the central bank only raises wages after asset prices have already responded, the average person is far too late to the inflationary party to capitalize — they are last to the monetary buffet.
Yet, the experts insist the easy money policy is beneficial, even essential.
THE ‘STRONG ECONOMY’ MYTH
Economists want us to believe that all is fine — the economy is strong.
In Powell’s assessment, the economy has performed well in recent months while inflation remains low and stable. As economic growth continues, he expects wages to rise gradually and welcomes the trend. And, although some economic cross-currents exist, the Fed is confident in continuing its rate hiking exercise, albeit at a reduced rate.
Yet, despite his optimism, a wild presidential tweet or disappointing Fed policy statement is all it takes to send markets tumbling.
Something doesn’t add up.
THE FED PUT IS HERE TO STAY
Despite the Fed chairman’s tough talk and the market’s mini-tantrum, nothing has really changed. True, the Fed’s policy options are fewer than in prior years — it surely cannot waste policy bullets on every garden variety 500-point decline. Nevertheless, trust that when (not if) things get really bad, Powell and his cohorts will be back with their easy money — the only cure they know.
The put is not dead. The real question is: Will it work again?
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Sprott U.S. Media, Inc. is a wholly owned subsidiary of Sprott Inc., which is a public company listed on the Toronto Stock Exchange and operates through its wholly-owned direct and indirect subsidiaries: Sprott Asset Management LP, an adviser registered with the Ontario Securities Commission; Sprott Private Wealth LP, an investment dealer and member of the Investment Industry Regulatory Organization of Canada; Sprott Global Resource Investments Ltd., a US full service broker-dealer and member FINRA/SIPC; Sprott Asset Management USA Inc., an SEC Registered Investment Advisor; and Resource Capital Investment Corp., also an SEC Registered Investment Advisor. We refer to the above entities collectively as “Sprott”.
The information contained herein does not constitute an offer or solicitation by anyone in any jurisdiction in which such an offer or solicitation is not authorized or to any person to whom it is unlawful to make such an offer or solicitation.
Forward-Looking Statement
This report contains forward-looking statements which reflect the current expectations of management regarding future growth, results of operations, performance and business prospects and opportunities. Wherever possible, words such as “may”, “would”, “could”, “will”, “anticipate”, “believe”, “plan”, “expect”, “intend”, “estimate”, and similar expressions have been used to identify these forward-looking statements. These statements reflect management’s current beliefs with respect to future events and are based on information currently available to management. Forward-looking statements involve significant known and unknown risks, uncertainties and assumptions. Many factors could cause actual results, performance or achievements to be materially different from any future results, performance or achievements that may be expressed or implied by such forward-looking statements. Should one or more of these risks or uncertainties materialize, or should assumptions underlying the forward-looking statements prove incorrect, actual results, performance or achievements could vary materially from those expressed or implied by the forward-looking statements contained in this document. These factors should be considered carefully and undue reliance should not be placed on these forward-looking statements. Although the forward-looking statements contained in this document are based upon what management currently believes to be reasonable assumptions, there is no assurance that actual results, performance or achievements will be consistent with these forward-looking statements. These forward-looking statements are made as of the date of this presentation and Sprott does not assume any obligation to update or revise.
Views expressed regarding a particular company, security, industry or market sector should not be considered an indication of trading intent of any fund or account managed by Sprott. Any reference to a particular company is for illustrative purposes only and should not to be considered as investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell nor should it be considered as an indication of how the portfolio of any fund or account managed by Sprott will be invested.
Past performance does not guarantee future results. The views and opinions expressed herein are those of the author’s as of the date of this commentary, and are subject to change without notice. This information is for information purposes only and is not intended to be an offer or solicitation for the sale of any financial product or service or a recommendation or determination by Sprott Global Resource Investments Ltd. that any investment strategy is suitable for a specific investor. Investors should seek financial advice regarding the suitability of any investment strategy based on the objectives of the investor, financial situation, investment horizon, and their particular needs. This information is not intended to provide financial, tax, legal, accounting or other professional advice since such advice always requires consideration of individual circumstances. The products discussed herein are not insured by the FDIC or any other governmental agency, are subject to risks, including a possible loss of the principal amount invested.
Generally, natural resources investments are more volatile on a daily basis and have higher headline risk than other sectors as they tend to be more sensitive to economic data, political and regulatory events as well as underlying commodity prices. Natural resource investments are influenced by the price of underlying commodities like oil, gas, metals, coal, etc.; several of which trade on various exchanges and have price fluctuations based on short-term dynamics partly driven by demand/supply and also by investment flows. Natural resource investments tend to react more sensitively to global events and economic data than other sectors, whether it is a natural disaster like an earthquake, political upheaval in the Middle East or release of employment data in the U.S. Low priced securities can be very risky and may result in the loss of part or all of your investment.  Because of significant volatility,  large dealer spreads and very limited market liquidity, typically you will  not be able to sell a low priced security immediately back to the dealer at the same price it sold the stock to you. In some cases, the stock may fall quickly in value. Investing in foreign markets may entail greater risks than those normally associated with domestic markets, such as political, currency, economic and market risks. You should carefully consider whether trading in low priced and international securities is suitable for you in light of your circumstances and financial resources. Past performance is no guarantee of future returns. Sprott Global, entities that it controls, family, friends, employees, associates, and others may hold positions in the securities it recommends to clients, and may sell the same at any time.
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SPROTTs THOUGHTS Housing Crunch

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Housing Crunch

Dec 19, 2018 04:40 pm
By Trey Reik, Senior Portfolio Manager, Sprott Asset Management USA, Inc.
As we enter the holiday season, we close out our review of fundamentals suggesting Fed tightening is nearing completion. Our contention remains that the Federal Reserve’s dual policy agenda of simultaneous rate hikes and balance sheet reduction is crimping global dollar liquidity to the significant peril of reigning financial asset valuations. In our November report, we examined the Fed’s concern over deteriorating underwriting standards amid runaway corporate borrowing. In this letter, we provide a brief update on recent developments in leveraged lending, and then turn our attention to a critical economic sector being pressured by Fed rate hikes: U.S. residential housing. We look forward to circulating, in mid-January, a comprehensive update on gold’s prospects for 2019 and beyond.

Leveraged Mayhem

We have made the case that Fed tightening is already destabilizing the most vulnerable segments of the corporate borrowing spectrum. In a cruel irony of a central bank-dependent financial system, growing recognition that Fed rate hikes are winding down is pressuring the $1.3 trillion leveraged loan market. During recent years, the inferior pedigree of leveraged borrowers has offered intrepid investors the perceived protection of floating interest rates. As the Fed has tightened, leveraged loan yields have risen in concert — sweet! Now that probabilities for 2019 rate hikes are plummeting, logic would suggest prospects for the most challenged of corporate credits should actually be improving. Counterintuitively, however, yield-manic investors, sensing evaporating floating-rate protection, are abandoning the leveraged-loan ship at alarming rates.

Figure 1: S&P/LSTA Leveraged Loan Price Index (December 31, 2016 – December 16, 2018). Source: Bloomberg.

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Sprott U.S. Media, Inc. is a wholly owned subsidiary of Sprott Inc., which is a public company listed on the Toronto Stock Exchange and operates through its wholly-owned direct and indirect subsidiaries: Sprott Asset Management LP, an adviser registered with the Ontario Securities Commission; Sprott Private Wealth LP, an investment dealer and member of the Investment Industry Regulatory Organization of Canada; Sprott Global Resource Investments Ltd., a US full service broker-dealer and member FINRA/SIPC; Sprott Asset Management USA Inc., an SEC Registered Investment Advisor; and Resource Capital Investment Corp., also an SEC Registered Investment Advisor. We refer to the above entities collectivelyas “Sprott”.
The information contained herein does not constitute an offer or solicitation by anyone in any jurisdiction in which such an offer or solicitation is not authorized or to any person to whom it is unlawful to make such an offer or solicitation.
Forward-Looking Statement
This report contains forward-looking statements which reflect the current expectations of management regarding future growth, results of operations, performance and business prospects and opportunities. Wherever possible, words such as “may”, “would”, “could”, “will”, “anticipate”, “believe”, “plan”, “expect”, “intend”, “estimate”, and similar expressions have been used to identify these forward-looking statements. These statements reflect management’s current beliefs with respect to future events and are based on information currently available to management. Forward-looking statements involve significant known and unknown risks, uncertainties and assumptions. Many factors could cause actual results, performance or achievements to be materially different from any future results, performance or achievements that may be expressed or implied by such forward-looking statements. Should one or more of these risks or uncertainties materialize, or should assumptions underlying the forward-looking statements prove incorrect, actual results, performance or achievements could vary materially from those expressed or implied by the forward-looking statements contained in this document. These factors should be considered carefully and undue reliance should not be placed on these forward-looking statements. Although the forward-looking statements contained in this document are based upon what management currently believes to be reasonable assumptions, there is no assurance that actual results, performance or achievements will be consistent with these forward-looking statements. These forward-looking statements are made as of the date of this presentation and Sprott does not assume any obligation to update or revise.
Views expressed regarding a particular company, security, industry or market sector should not be considered an indication of trading intent of any fund or account managed by Sprott. Any reference to a particular company is for illustrative purposes only and should not to be considered as investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell nor should it be considered as an indication of how the portfolio of any fund or account managed by Sprott will be invested.
Past performance does not guarantee future results. The views and opinions expressed herein are those of the author’s as of the date of this commentary, and are subject to change without notice. This information is for information purposes only and is not intended to be an offer or solicitation for the sale of any financial product or service or a recommendation or determination by Sprott Global Resource Investments Ltd. that any investment strategy is suitable for a specific investor. Investors should seek financial advice regarding the suitability of any investment strategy based on the objectives of the investor, financial situation, investment horizon, and their particular needs. This information is not intended to provide financial, tax, legal, accounting or other professional advice since such advice always requires consideration of individual circumstances. The products discussed herein are not insured by the FDIC or any other governmental agency, are subject to risks, including a possible loss of the principal amount invested.
Generally, natural resources investments are more volatile on a daily basis and have higher headline risk than other sectors as they tend to be more sensitive to economic data, political and regulatory events as well as underlying commodity prices. Natural resource investments are influenced by the price of underlying commodities like oil, gas, metals, coal, etc.; several of which trade on various exchanges and have price fluctuations based on short-term dynamics partly driven by demand/supply and also by investment flows. Natural resource investments tend to react more sensitively to global events and economic data than other sectors, whether it is a natural disaster like an earthquake, political upheaval in the Middle East or release of employment data in the U.S. Low priced securities can be very risky and may result in the loss of part or all of your investment. Because of significant volatility, large dealer spreads and very limited market liquidity, typically you will not be able to sell a low priced security immediatelyback to the dealer at the same price it sold the stock to you. In some cases, the stock may fall quickly in value. Investing in foreign markets may entail greater risks than those normally associated with domestic markets, such as political, currency, economic and market risks. You should carefully consider whether trading in low priced and international securities is suitable for you in light of your circumstances and financial resources. Past performance is no guarantee of future returns. Sprott Global, entities that it controls, family, friends, employees, associates, and others may hold positions in the securities it recommends to clients, and may sell the same at any time.
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NxGOLD Provides Exploration Update on the Mt Roe Project

  • Initial work program at Prinsep returns a grab sample of 8 g/t gold
  • Unconstrained gold in soil anomalies at the Eagle and Hawk prospects
  • Crow area returns anomalous gold and copper values

VANCOUVER , Dec. 18, 2018 /CNW/ – NxGold Ltd.(“NxGold” or the “Company“), (TSXV: NXN) is pleased to provide additional results from its most recently completed field program at the Mt. Roe Project located in the Pilbara region of Western Australia .  Results are now available from gridded soil sampling and prospecting samples from follow-up work on anomalous stream sediment samples as part of the continuing systematic approach to target area identification and drill target refinement at Mt Roe.  Results from an initial program at Prinsep are also available.  On-going metal detecting work has also identified additional nuggets consistent with our targeting approach.
Prinsep
A total of 7 stream sediment samples were collected and a soil grid with 80 m line spacing and 80 m sample spacing was taken for a collection of 60 samples.  This was an initial work program focused on historical areas worked by prospectors using metal detectors.  No significant stream sample values were returned.  Soil sample results ranged from detection limit to a high of 180 parts per billion (“ppb”) gold, with areas of weak base metal and silver anomalies. However, eleven selective rock grab samples were collected which returned values from detection limit to 8.6 g/t Au.  Expanded soil grids and additional prospecting is required to better understand the controls on mineralisation at Prinsep.
Eagle Area
Soil sampling (86 samples) has defined a possible intersection of a north-northwest trending feature and a northeast trending feature associated with the core of the magnetic high feature previously identified.  The anomalous zone is approximately 500 m long and varies from 60 m to 120 m in width and may explain only a small portion of the +1.2 km long section of anomalous stream samples previously reported.  The soil samples returned gold values ranging from detection limit to 244 ppb goldwith the anomalous zone defined by values greater than the 80th percentile value (17 ppb gold).  The anomalous zone is not constrained to the north or southwest.  Expanding the soils lines to the northwest and southwest in an effort to identify the ultimate extents of anomaly along with selective infill sampling to better define the core anomaly may be included as part of the next field program.
Hawk Area
Soil sampling (26 samples) has identified a roughly 100 m by 300 m anomalous area that is still open to the northwest and southwest.  The soil samples returned gold values ranging from detection limit to 828 ppb gold with the anomalous zone defined by values greater than the 80th percentile value (17 ppb gold).  This anomalous zone explains the previously reported highly anomalous stream sediment samples.  Next steps for this area include adding additional soils lines to close off the soil anomaly to the northeast, southeast and southwest and detailed prospecting and sampling of surface exposures.
Crow Area
Following up on anomalous stream samples, three rock grab samples were collected from sub-cropping vein material and float vein material.  These samples returned anomalous gold, copper, and silver values as presented in the table below and may explain the single high value stream sample previously reported from this area.

Sample

Prospect

Au g/t

Ag g/t

Cu %

Description

2311

Crow

0.01

0.025

0.0023

veins amygdaloidal basalt with coarse epidote.

2312

Crow

0.36

34.4

2.597

vein breccia, chalcopyrite, chalcocite, malachite and limonite.

2313

Crow

1.29

26.8

2.521

Float vein breccia, chalcopyrite, chalcocite, malachite and limonite, 40 cm wide.

 
Additional prospecting and a detailed soil grid program will assist in further identifying a target in this area.
Swan Area
Soil sampling (27 samples) has identified a roughly 100 m by 300 m anomalous area that is still open to the northeast and southwest; additionally, a single sample on the edge of the grid indicates the potential for a second soil anomaly to the west of the Swan Area which could correspond to a previously reported anomalous stream sample.  The soil samples returned gold values ranging from detection limit to 152 ppb gold with the anomalous zone defined by values greater than the 80thpercentile value (17 ppb gold).  This anomalous zone explains the previously reported highly anomalous stream sediment samples.  Next steps may include additional soil lines to the northeast and west to identify the extents of the current soil anomalies, trenching across the known Swan Area structure on strike from previous trenching or scout drilling across and at depth of the known auriferous structure.
Christopher McFadden , Chief Executive Officer commented, “It is pleasing that in a relatively short period of time our team has evaluated the property for different mineralisation styles and advanced to the drill target delineation stage through the systematic exploration of the Mt Roe tenements.  This systematic approach will also be used to evaluate the Prinsep tenements which are showing interesting targets and the newly granted tenements at Mt. Roe.”

Figure 1: Gridded Soil Results from Mt Roe (CNW Group/NxGold Ltd.)
Table 1: Gridded Soil Sample Results (CNW Group/NxGold Ltd.)
Table 2: Rock Sample Results Not Previously Reported (CNW Group/NxGold Ltd.)

Neither TSX Venture Exchange nor its Regulations Services Provider (as that term is defined in policies of the TSX Venture Exchange) accepts responsibility for the adequacy or accuracy of this release.
About NxGold
NxGold is a Vancouver-based exploration company.  The Company owns 80% of the Mt. Roe gold project located in the Pilbara region of Western Australia.  The Company has also entered into an earn-in agreement with Meliadine Gold Ltd. to earn up to a 70% interest in the Kuulu Project (formerly known as the Peter Lake Gold Project) in Nunavut .
Technical Disclosure
The on-going sampling programs of stream sediments, soils, rocks and chip samples involve a quality assurance and quality control (QA/QC) program that includes the collection of field duplicates and insertion of certified reference materials at frequency of roughly one in ten samples. Rock samples, stream samples and some chip samples are selective in nature and are not representative of mineralisation on the property. All samples have been sent to Intertek Genalysis in Perth , WA for preparation and analysis. Rock and chip samples were analysed using a 50g fire assay for gold and a 10g aqua regia, 32-element inductively coupled plasma optical emission spectroscopy (‘ICP-OES’). Samples with visible gold or returning >10 g/t gold by fire assay are subject to a screen fire assay analysis. Stream sediment samples were analysed using 1000g bulk leach extractable gold analysis with Leachwell accelerant followed by ICP-MS with a 10g sample split for aqua regia 32 element ICP-OES analyses.
Stream samples were field screened fine fraction (minus 80 mesh) with a collected mass of 10-12kgs. Soil samples were field screened to minus 4mm with a collected mass of approximately 4kg. All samples were split by a two-tier riffle splitter in a secure storage facility into a laboratory sample and a retained reference sample.
Surface material was scraped away, followed by loosening of material with a prospector’s pick and lifting the material onto a sieve screen with a plastic scoop. Samples where sieved down in the field to minus 4 mm, directly into a sample bag. 4 kg of sieved material was collected for each sample. Sample depths went down to approximately 25 cm at each site. Samples were sealed in a cloth bag until split by a two-tier riffle splitter in a secure storage facility. Locations of each sample were recorded by a handheld GPS.
NxGold advises that the Mt Roe Gold project is an early stage exploration project utilising an evolving gold deposit model for a paleo-placer style of mineralisation. Abundant exploration work is required to understand the previously unrecognised sedimentary geology and confirm if the source(s) of the coarse gold is located within NxGold Ltd.’s tenements. There is no certainty of the discovery nor definition of a mineral resource.
The scientific and technical information in this news release has been prepared or approved by Darren Lindsay , P.Geo., Vice President Exploration and Development, of the Company, a “qualified person” within the meaning of National Instrument 43-101 – Standards of Disclosure for Mineral Projects.
Cautionary Statement Regarding “Forward-Looking” Information
This news release contains “forward-looking information” within the meaning of applicable Canadian securities legislation. “Forward-looking information” includes, but is not limited to, statements with respect to activities, events or developments that the Company expects or anticipates will or may occur in the future including whether the proposed acquisition will be completed. Generally, but not always, forward-looking information and statements can be identified by the use of words such as “plans”, “expects”, “is expected”, “budget”, “scheduled”, “estimates”, “forecasts”, “intends”, “anticipates”, or “believes” or the negative connotation thereof or variations of such words and phrases or state that certain actions, events or results “may”, “could”, “would”, “might” or “will be taken”, “occur” or “be achieved” or the negative connotation thereof.
Such forward-looking information and statements are based on numerous assumptions, including among others, that general business and economic conditions will not change in a material adverse manner, that financing will be available if and when needed and on reasonable terms, and that third party contractors, equipment and supplies and governmental and other approvals required to conduct the Company’s planned exploration activities will be available on reasonable terms and in a timely manner. Although the assumptions made by the Company in providing forward-looking information or making forward-looking statements are considered reasonable by management at the time, there can be no assurance that such assumptions will prove to be accurate.
Forward-looking information and statements also involve known and unknown risks and uncertainties and other factors, which may cause actual events or results in future periods to differ materially from any projections of future events or results expressed or implied by such forward-looking information or statements, including, among others: negative operating cash flow and dependence on third party financing, uncertainty of additional financing, no known mineral reserves or resources, reliance on key management and other personnel, potential downturns in economic conditions, actual results of exploration activities being different than anticipated, changes in exploration programs based upon results, and risks generally associated with the mineral exploration industry, environmental risks, changes in laws and regulations, community relations and delays in obtaining governmental or other approvals.
Although the Company has attempted to identify important factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from those contained in the forward-looking information or implied by forward-looking information, there may be other factors that cause results not to be as anticipated, estimated or intended. There can be no assurance that forward-looking information and statements will prove to be accurate, as actual results and future events could differ materially from those anticipated, estimated or intended. Accordingly, readers should not place undue reliance on forward-looking statements or information. The Company undertakes no obligation to update or reissue forward-looking information as a result of new information or events except as required by applicable securities laws.

NxGold Ltd. (CNW Group/NxGold Ltd.)

SOURCE NxGold Ltd.

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RON PAUL On The Coming Crisis: “Could be Worse Than 1929”

Ron Paul On The Coming Crisis: “Could Be Worse Than 1929”

Dec 16, 2018 09:00 am
By Albert Lu

What started as a strong week for U.S. equities ended with losses, as disappointing economic data from China and Europe pushed global equities down on Friday.
The Dow Jones Industrial Average closed down by nearly 500 points on Friday.
Numbers reflecting China’s industrial output and retail sales growth missed expectations. The news sent Asian equities tumbling overnight.
PMI data out of Europe also disappointed. The IHS Markit Flash Eurozone PMI index fell to its lowest level in four years.
The news helped push European stocks, measured by the Stoxx 600, lower by 0.3%.
The move down in U.S. stocks erased gains for the week with small cap stocks among the hardest hit. Small caps, as measured by the Russell 2000 Index, have lost roughly 17% over the last 3 months. Meanwhile, the large cap S&P 500 index lost 9% over the same period.
STOCK UP ON LIQUIDITY: CREDIT DEFAULT CYCLE COMING
The recent volatility has driven some investors to seek shelter in instruments with higher liquidity. In particular, Pimco Chief Investment Officer Dan Ivascyn told Bloomberg Radio that investors should consider stocking up on lower-risk, liquid assets to defend against rising volatility and widening credit spreads.
“The credit markets, particularly the non-financial segments of the corporate credit markets, are where we see the most long-term risks.”
Ivascyn cites the tremendous amount of issuance over the last decade and a steady deterioration in underwriting standards as key concerns.
“If I was allowed one piece of research, and one piece only, a pretty good piece of research would be to look at issuance versus history. I think when you look at leveraged loans — you look at other segments of the corporate credit universe — issuance is very, very high.”
In addition to leveraged loans, Ivascyn drew attention to the prevalence of CLOs, collateralized loan obligations.
“Looking at total outstandings in the CLO market … total issuance today is pretty darn close to max outstanding [of] ABS CDOs prior to the financial crisis.”
While Ivascyn stops short of equating the magnitude of today’s CLO risk to that experienced prior to 2008, he suspects the situation has created substantial risk for down-side overshooting of fundamentals.
“Many of the participants in these markets have never gone through a default cycle. So, we’re cautious.”
In addition to raising liquidity, Ivascyn recommends investors save cash for opportunities ahead.
“You want to be nimble. You want to be flexible. You want to be liquid … That involves a lot of patience.”
BANK STOCKS UNDERPERFORM
Small cap stocks are not the only victims of recent volatility. Bank stocks, particularly regional bank stocks, have also suffered. The KBW Regional Banking Index is down nearly 17% this year, which indicates to some that investors fear a recession is near.
Morgan Stanley Analyst Ken Zerbe wrote recently, “We cannot ignore the growing risk of a bear credit market next year preceding a recession as well as the negative impact of weaker economic growth [on credit quality and as a driver of slower loan growth].”
“The carefree days of rising rates and pristine credit quality could be coming to an end.”
DEPRESSION COMING WITHIN THE NEXT 12 MONTHS
Former Congressman and presidential candidate Ron Paul pulled no punches in his recent interview on CNBC Futures Now. Paul made a strong case for the onset of depression-like conditions soon.
“I think it’s a very vulnerable position because when markets are destined to make big corrections … they don’t do it from the top, they do it from 10-15% down. So, we’re at that position.”
Citing economic problems ranging from artificially low interest rates and ballooning central bank balance sheets to trade tariffs, the former congressman stressed that understanding the conditions that caused the bubble is more important than identifying the pin that will eventually pop it.
“The precipitating factor will be that black swan — it’s coming. The situation is ready for it. It’s very precarious — the debt is too much, all the malinvestment is there.”
“You need a precipitating factor like Lehman Brothers …. But it might not be just an ordinary old-fashioned bank run … It could be international, it could be related to this tariff war we have going on.”
When asked if there was anything President Trump and Federal Reserve Chairman Powell could do to avoid the day of reckoning, his answer was clear.
“No … They actually believe they can find the neutral rate of interest. It’s a total fallacy. Nobody knows what that is … I’m predicting that they can’t solve this problem that is coming because interest rates are too low and they don’t have any room … they will go back to QE and they’ll pass out the money.”
How bad will it be?
“There’s no sign that it’s going to be mild … I think that it could be worse than 1929.”
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Deal Or No Deal — 4 Signs Of Economic Trouble Ahead
Eric Sprott: All Asset Classes Are Plunging
Jim Rogers: Write It Down — Commodities Are Going To Do Better Than Stocks

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TOM WHEELWRIGHT How to Find an Investment Path that is Right for You

I love when someone asks me, “I’ve been learning about investing in XYZ. How do I know if that is right for me?” It means they are thinking about their wealth strategy.

All too often I see people jumping into investments without a wealth strategy in place. It’s the wealth strategy that answers the question about whether an investment is right for you.

When it comes to building wealth, one size does not fit all.

Making your wealth strategy your own is essential to its success.

The WealthAbility Show

The WealthAbility Show

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Here are 3 areas that are most impacted by you in your wealth strategy:

#1 Where You Are Today

Where you are today is unique to you and directly impacts what you should do in your wealth strategy.

Where you are today includes:

  • Your income
  • Your expenses – including your taxes
  • Your assets
  • Your liabilities

It’s impossible to get to where you are going if you don’t know your starting point. And, how you get to where you are going is heavily influenced by your starting point – which is where you are today.

For example, someone whose main source of income is from a job needs a different path to achieve their wealth goals than someone whose main source of income is from a business.

Or, someone who has a large tax liability needs a different path to achieve their wealth goals than someone who currently has no tax liability.

Everyone can achieve their wealth goals – they just need different paths to get there. They need to customize their wealth strategy to their current situation.

#2 Where You Want to Be

Your wealth strategy is all about your wealth dream.

Your wealth dream is your picture of your ultimate lifestyle. Where do you live? How do you spend your time?

Now, we can all close our eyes for a few seconds and imagine the lifestyle of our dreams. But to truly define your wealth dream means being very detailed and specific – in other words, making it your own.

With your wealth dream, you can analyze an investment in a different way – what is that investment going to do to get you from where you are today to where you want to be.

The more detailed and specific your wealth dream is to you, the more likely it is to be reached. As your wealth dream gets clearer, so does the path to get there.

#3 Your Personal Role

To successfully navigate from where you are today to where you want to be, you must maximize your personal role in your wealth strategy.

Since our time is limited to just 24 hours a day, it is important to maximize the results of our personal efforts. To get the best results from our personal efforts, it is vital that we not only enjoy what we are doing but that it is something we are excited to do.

For example, say Person A invests in XYZ and loves it and Person B invests in the exact same thing and hates it.

Who do you think will be more successful?

What’s really happening here is Person A loves their role so it gives them energy while Person B doesn’t like their role so it drains their energy.

When your personal role in your wealth strategy is something you love to do, your success rate goes up – not just in terms of achieving your wealth goals, but also in terms of how quickly you achieve your wealth goals.

It’s Your Wealth Strategy

Nobody cares more about building your wealth than you. This is why making your wealth strategy your own is critical to its success.

We’ve updated our Terms of Use – click here to review them now.

Tom Wheelwright, CPA

To ensure compliance with requirements imposed by the IRS, we inform you that any US federal tax advice contained in this communication (including any attachments) is not intended or written to be used, and it cannot be used for the purpose of (i) avoiding penalties under the Internal Revenue Code or (ii) promoting, marketing, or recommending to another party any transaction or matter addressed herein. If you are not the original addressee of this communication, you should seek advice based on your particular circumstances from an independent advisor.

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OPPORTUNITY TRAVEL Thinking Outside the Gift Box

December 14, 2018
From the desk of Barbara Perriello

A Gift to Treasure for a Lifetime
One of the most unique presents you can give

Dear Reader,
Finding someone… anyone… the perfect present is hard. I love picking out gifts for friends and family but I’m often left with a nagging feeling… did I choose the right thing?
Giving the gift of travel can make your holiday shopping easier and so much more meaningful…
And there’s a big, wide world out there… ready and waiting for you to share its beauty and wonder with that special someone.
My grandmother Bess loved discovering new places. She always told me to travel the world as much as possible and not wait until I was too old to enjoy it.
Her advice changed my life and laid out a path for my future.
When I was in high school and heading to Paris for the first time, she was right there at the airport for my send-off. I haven’t stopped traveling since!
Giving someone the gift of travel is one of the most wonderful things you can do. That gift will change their lives forever. And precious memories of their journey will always remind them of you.
Deciding how to gift someone with travel requires considerably more thought than buying a tie or a bathrobe. And the first thing you’ll need to do is consult with the recipient.
Yes, this spoils the surprise but ensures that your gift will be treasured.
Working with a travel professional can help you craft the trip of a lifetime… smooth your way through the details… and get the most out of your budget.
That’s where I come in.
Hi… my name is Barbara Perriello and I’m the Director of Opportunity Travel.
Many folks think of us as conference organizers or leading investment tours but in fact, we do quite a bit more than that. Since 1998, we’ve been creating customized luxury travel experiences for individuals and families.
With that in mind… I’d like to help you create that ideal gift of adventure. Let me begin with a few ideas to inspire you…
Make a dream come true

Cross one off their bucket list with an “off-the-map” adventure… like exploring the “coolest” continent on Earth – Antarctica! Tourism there is on the rise and unique experiences, like polar snorkeling with penguins and seals, watching a once-in-a-lifetime solar eclipse (December 4, 2021), running a marathon (sells out three years in advance), and many more thrilling adventures await the intrepid traveler.
Another ‘do before I die’ favorite is an all-star safari adventure that sets down in Africa’s unforgettable parks and reserves. Luxury-class travelers can expect to be pampered and cared for every step of the way, dining privately in wild locations, exploring private game reserves all while staying in elegant private lodges.
Think India – a land of remarkable diversity. Not the chaotic huge cities but instead the tropical, south-western coastline of Kerala. Gorgeous beaches… scenic backwaters… tea, coffee and spice plantations in the mountains… lush forests… national parks home to elephants, tigers and monkeys – all can be found in this laid-back atmosphere.

Who doesn’t love the Caribbean?

Vivid blues and greens graced with sugar sand beaches… shimmering reefs and high mountain peaks… salsa, reggae and pirate hideouts. The Caribbean has it all and so much more. Accommodations range from high-rise hotels on the world’s top beaches to pampered luxury in secluded boutique villas… and everything in between. Everyone on your gift list dreams about these fabulous island destinations.

Experience the romance of the rails – from natural wonders to ancient kingdoms

South America’s first luxury sleeper train glides from Cusco, the capital of the Inca Empire, to Machu Picchu and across the lofty Andean plains to the white city of Arequipa. Richly appointed 1920s Pullman-style carriages capture the glamour of a bygone world with elegance and old-fashioned charm, and take in Peru’s spectacular highlights en route.
Or travel by train in exquisite style through the heart of Southeast Asia along the legendary Silk Road. From stunning architecture to wondrous landscapes, it’s a remarkable adventure through the ancient world, following in the footsteps of Alexander the Great and Marco Polo.

Show your spouse or parents how special they are

Treat them to a picture-perfect second honeymoon steeped in sumptuous luxury and balmy trade winds. Sail off to Tahiti, French Polynesia and the South Pacific… where palm-fringed islands, turquoise lagoons, snow-white beaches and verdant tropical foliage are just the beginning. Beneath the ocean’s surface is another world, equally rich, with myriad marine life and colorful coral reefs.
“Glamping” – short for glamorous camping – is a popular and growing travel trend in the U.S. and around the world. It pairs destinations with the intimacy of camping and five-star luxury – the ultimate realization of ‘disconnect to reconnect’.

Take luxury to another dimension

Immerse them in nature with eco-luxury in the treetops. A rejuvenating spa and wellness center await… situated in a lush tropical forest offering dramatic panoramas of the Pacific coastline and its own private beach cove. World-class surfing is at the doorstep… along with endless options for a tranquil, unplugged getaway.

Family vacations with real life experiences

What greater gift than opening up the world to your children? My three kids have been traveling with me since they were little more than babies. Their first trip outside the U.S. took us to Belize when they were ages three, five and seven. Next we went to Honduras, Portugal, Spain and Canada before my oldest hit ten. Today, as adults they have great memories and a broader, more realistic view of the world.
After a trip to Roatan where my son Nick played soccer with local kids, he returned home and immediately packed up all the old cleats in our garage for me to take on my next trip… because most of the kids there didn’t have shoes.
The lessons learned are priceless.

To give you an idea of just how special the gift of travel can be, listen to what some of our clients have told us…

We have to thank Barb Perriello for so many things! She makes traveling a pleasure with her professionalism mixed with her heart-and-soul love of what she does. She is so excited in sharing her vast knowledge and experience for making accommodations and details, and every aspect of a trip the very best possible memory for all! She has planned several trips for my husband and me, and also two family trips for us.
The trip to China with son, daughter-in-law, and four grandsons was absolutely perfect in every way, from flights, hotels and guide to activities that even teenage boys enjoyed! We actually made a lifetime friend of the contact in China. Wouldn’t think of using anyone other than Barb to plan a trip for me!  —J. Jackson

Marc Lichtenfeld, The Oxford Club’s Chief Income Strategist sent us this wonderful note following his family vacation in Italy…

Barb created the trip of a lifetime for my family and me. Our two weeks in Italy were fantastic. Barb was easy to work with, listening to what we wanted and made great suggestions. We wanted to take a trip that my kids would remember for the rest of their lives. Mission accomplished. Thanks for creating amazing memories, Barb!

Bill A. is a life-long world traveler with a keen appreciation for beautiful hotels and architecture, fine dining, great service… and those exceptional experiences that seasoned journeyers treasure.
He was looking for a unique experience with his son. Bill also wanted to include Buenos Aires (on his list of top five cities in the world) and their shared passion for horses and skiing… and in August to boot!

“Barbara Perriello has a way of arranging trips that make it personal and yet loads of fun and adventure. With her guidance, you get the best picture of where you’re visiting. We had the most wonderful trip. Her guides met us at every destination, and cared for us in every way. Our city hotels were the best and one in fact, was in my opinion the most beautiful in the world.
We visited a hacienda on the Pampas and it was such fun being real-life Argentine “gauchos” for a few days. We also went skiing at Ushaia in the Patagonia region, at the southernmost tip of South America… literally the “end of the world”.

It’s totally appropriate to gift yourself too!
From beginning to end, Opportunity Travel will work with you to create that perfect gift… or your own fantasy adventure.
Specially-trained guides, private transfers, fascinating tours and a comfortable bed at the end of the day are all part of our special brand of service.
Be Inspired! Change someone’s life this holiday season by giving them an opportunity to see the world…
And why not join them yourself?
Call us today and let us help you plan your travel gift… an experience that will last a lifetime.
Wishing you peace and joy this holiday season,
Cordially,

Barbara Perriello, Director
Opportunity Travel
P.S. Opportunity Travel has two exclusive tours coming up…
2019 Southeast Asia Tour 
Chiang Mai, Thailand – Penang, Malaysia
February 24 – March 3, 2019
You’re invited to join us in this exciting, welcoming part of the world. Over the course of eight fun-filled daysyou’ll get the chance to explore some of Southeast Asia’s most alluring attractions while enjoying exotic scenery, great food and luxurious, world-class accommodations. Together we’ll experience Chiang Mai, Thailand – “The Rose of the North” with its rich cultural history, incredible culinary scene, and gorgeous surrounding countryside. From there we’ll venture down to Penang, Malaysia – “The Jewel of the Orient” and explore its magical blend of tropical scenery, the awe-inspiring sights, dining on tasty and exotic local cuisine, and stay at one of Malaysia’s most luxurious beachfront resorts.
Get the details here.
Opportunity Travel’s South America Expedition 
Uruguay & Argentina – November 2019
One of our most popular tours! Come November 2019 and once again we’ll be heading south to Uruguay and Argentina where we’ll show you so much more than the wonders these countries are known for. We’d love to have you join us!
Tantalizing wines, fabulous farm to table dining and sensuous tango are just a small snippet of what we have in store. Add to that our unique brand of personal service, luxury hotels and “boots on the ground” experts. Find out for yourself why our past attendees return again and again.
P.P.S. Will you be joining us next July in Vancouver for the Sprott Natural Resource Symposium 2019? Let me help you plan a pre or post-conference tour… an unforgettable summer vacation in this world-class city and recreation area. Now’s the time to book Alaska cruises or a Canadian Rockies train trip to must-see destinations like Banff, Jasper National Park, and Lake Louise. These travel hot spots fill up quickly so it’s a good idea to make your reservations well in advance.
For more information about any of our events or expeditions, simply give us a call right now at 1-800-926-6575 or +561-243-6276, OR send us an email at info@opportunity-travel.com
Where We’re Headed Next


Why Retire in Panama?

Can you retire where you live now on $1,500 – $2,000 a month? You can easily do that in Panama, where most everything—from rent to health insurance and medical care—costs far less than you’re likely paying now. And you’ll love the climate. Discover how to live the retirement of your dreams in Panama.
Get more details here…


Join us in Bangkok from 21-23 February and put your overseas dream on the fast track. Give us two-and-a-half days…and we’ll give you everything you need to put yourself on the path to the good life. Reserve your place now and save $200.
Go here for the full details

Opportunity Travel’s
Southeast Asia Tour to Thailand & Malaysia
February 24-March 3, 2019

Post-Tour Following International Living’s
2019 Fast Track Your Retirement Overseas Conference
Bangkok, Thailand – February 21-23

Since we’ll be right here in beautiful Bangkok for the IL conference, we’ve designed an exclusive, fun-filled post conference tour that’s a first class, luxurious journey. You’ll get a chance to see firsthand why travelers and expats alike simply love everything about Thailand and Malaysia. Get full details about this exclusive expedition and guarantee yourself a spot – but you’ll have to act fast, only 20 spaces are available. Call me at 800 926 6575 or +561 243 6276, or email at info@opportunity-travel.com.


The Oxford Club’s 21st Annual Investment U Conference
March 28-31, 2019 – The Vinoy Renaissance Resort


Every spring, The Oxford Club hosts its biggest event of the year –the Annual Investment U Conference. For this signature event, we spare no expense to bring you the latest and greatest from the investing world as well as a real no-nonsense look into the markets.
Throughout this event, you’ll discover dozens of profitable ideas from our team of expert analysts, as well as investment insights from more than two dozen of the industry’s top economists and investment minds.
Join us as we celebrate more than two decades of success and tremendous profit opportunities brought to life through this premier event. Year-after-year – we’ve seen the ideas shared here soar to great heights and we are thrilled to see what’s in store next.
For more information on this event, and to reserve your spot today, click hereIf you have any questions about the event, please email us at voyagerclub@oxfordclub.com or call us at +443.708.9411.


Money Map Press presents…

The Black Diamond Conference
Delray Beach Marriott – April 4-6, 2019

Now Accepting Registrations – Act Now & Save

Our next Money Map Press event will take place at one of the most beautiful oceanfront hotels in Florida… the Delray Beach Marriot. Escape with us to Florida’s sun-drenched beaches and take in all that this hip and happening town has to offer.
Money Map’s gurus will share all the tools, techniques and strategies that made them fortunes… and they’ll show you how to attain “the good life” for yourself. Right now for a very limited time, you have the opportunity to experience this exclusive event at a discounted rate.
Go here for full details and registration


Sprott Natural Resource Symposium 2019
Fairmont Hotel Vancouver – July 30-August 2, 2019

Plan your 2019 vacation now – we’ll be happy to help you!
Get the lowest price possible for this popular, long-running conference that just keeps getting better year after year!
Join our chairman and personal host, Rick Rule in the heart of downtown Vancouver for this sell-out event. It’s not too soon to claim your Advance Pricing discount!
Click here for details. You really can’t beat this offer!
For more information about any of these events or expeditions, simply give us a call right now at 800 926 6575 or 561 243 6276, OR send us an email at info@opportunity-travel.com


Uruguay & Argentina – November 2019
Opportunity Travel’s South America Expedition
Call now to get your name on the list!

One of our most popular tours! Come November 2019 and once again we’ll be heading south to Uruguay and Argentina where we’ll show you so much more than the wonders these countries are known for. We’d love to have you join us!
Tantalizing wines, fabulous farm to table dining and sensuous tango are just a small snippet of what we have in store. Add to that our unique brand of personal service, luxury hotels and “boots on the ground” experts. Find out for yourself why our past attendees return again and again.
Call now to get your name on the list – 1-800-926-6575 or +561-243-6276OR send us an email at info@opportunity-travel.com


For more information about our tours or conferences, please contact, Barbara Perriello or Michelle Sedita at Opportunity Travel by email at info@opportunity-travel.com or by phone at +561.243.6276 or toll-free at +800.926.6575.

Disclaimer: Nothing in this e-mail should be considered personalized investment advice. Although our employees may answer your general customer service questions, they are not licensed under securities laws to address your particular investment situation. No communication by our employees to you should be deemed as personalized investment advice. In the interest of full disclosure: Opportunity Travel may receive commissions from any property sales made during any of its trips. And, as a travel agency, we often receive a commission from hotels when we book rooms for our tours and conferences.
Copyright © 2018 Opportunity Travel, All rights reserved.
Our mailing address is:

Opportunity Travel

235 NE 4th Ave

Delray BeachFL 33483

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RICK RULE Investing “Know-Who” with Ross Beaty, Part 2 NEW ARTICLE

Rick Rule Investing “Know-Who” with Ross Beaty, Part 2

Dec 13, 2018 08:51 pm
By Remy Blaire
 

Ross Beaty, Chairman of Equinox Gold

 
Gold is being watched like a hawk as volatility extends its topsy-turvy ride through the global equity markets. The price action for the precious metal has been lackluster despite the wild swings in the stock market. With gold slowly edging higher but not advancing at a rapid pace, the safe-haven metal appears range-bound for now.
The steady upward trend in equity prices came to a screeching halt in 2018 as asset prices stumbled and wavered throughout the quarters. Triple-digit moves to the upside and downside ceased to cause euphoria or illicit excessive hand wringing from investors.
The big question remains: has the next bull cycle for gold kicked off? If you ask Rick Rule, president & CEO of Sprott U.S. Holdings or established resource investor, Ross Beaty, they would emphasize the importance of recognizing the bottom of the market rather than fretting over the timing of the next bull cycle.
Rule and Beaty are natural resource investors with experience in bull and bear markets. In Part 1 of ‘Rick Rule Investing “Know-Who” with Ross Beaty,’ they discussed past successes and challenges. In Part 2 of Rule’s “Know Who” series, Beaty retraces his investments in companies within the resources sector and how he found his proverbial pot of gold.


Rick Rule: Over the course of 30 years, you’ve gone from a smart, young, naïve, wet-behind-the-ears geologist to a tier 1 promoter who has built several world class companies. You tried something unusual which was retirement. I’m going to suggest that you failed and that you just flat failed.
Ross Beaty: I didn’t try it very well.
Rick Rule: I remember you telling me that you were retiring and I was polite enough that I didn’t want to point out the error of your ways.
So let’s talk about what you’re doing now. To an outside observer it would appear that you have a particular fondness for gold. Is there something about gold as a commodity that intrigues you? Is there something about the structure of the gold mining industry that you think that you can improve on? Or is it not gold?
Ross Beaty: You’ll recall that in 2008, I took a break from the mining game and I tried my hand at building a clean energy company. I’m an environmentalist and I wanted to do something for the climate, the carbon in the atmosphere, and I decided I could build this clean energy company focused on geothermal. That didn’t work out so well, so I went into wind, hydro and solar and that has worked out pretty well. I ultimately built that company up to a point and I just sold it this year in February.

So that was quite a segue and a lot of hard work and I was toying with a few things. But really, back in around 2014 or so, I really fell in love with gold again. I fell in love with gold as an investment. So I said gold has come down from $1,900 bucks to — I forget what it was — almost $1,000 I think at that point, [a] big, big drop. And that’s not a drop that I felt was sustainable.

While that was happening, the debt pile was getting bigger and bigger, quantitative easing was going looney in the U.S.
Rick Rule: We’re talking about the government debt?

Ross Beaty: Government debt, personal debt, all kinds of debt. Debt was just being piled on. Zero interest was making people drunk and I felt that would be good for gold ultimately. At the same time, companies just sort of stopped looking for gold. There was a lot that had been discovered with the gold run in 1900. There were a lot of deposits that were outlined — a lot of distressed things were in a bear market in 2014. Quite significant bear market in 2015. And it was just a good buying opportunity.

I was an investor in those years because I was still doing my clean energy company. That was my main business. That was Alterra Power Corp. But as an investor, I had some capital and I bought a whole bunch of big lumpy positions in 10 or 12 companies — 5%, 10%, 20% stakes, 25% stakes. The bigger ones were like Dalradian Resources Inc. and Kaminak Gold Corporation, lots of different companies.
With our own group, we sold Lumina Copper Corp. in 2014 to First Quantum Minerals Ltd. for about a half a billion dollars. Well, I had this fabulous team of guys. I lost a couple. We lost our lawyer. We lost our kind-of-genius communicator, David Strang. He went off to try to run a fund. But we still had a core team and I wanted to keep them going. I didn’t want to be really directing traffic because I was working on my energy company.
So I helped them organize the acquisition of a couple of properties in Ecuador under the name Lumina Gold Corp. So we took the same kind of brand we had. It was a good brand. We met a lot of people. We started this junior based on a couple of deposits that we acquired in Ecuador. When everybody thought Ecuador was a pariah — we didn’t. We knew it was coming out of the period when the president didn’t like mining so he discouraged mining and everybody left. The fact is it’s a great gold and copper province. It had great opportunities.
We went down there and picked a bunch of properties, flung them into a brand new company called Lumina Gold. Spent years working away during the bear market of 2015. And in 2016, 2017, we built that up to the point that it’s kind of going to be like the Lumina Copper story I think — which is a strategy of buying something cheaply, at the bottom of the cycle. When the cycle turns, we do more exploration. We prove a large deposit and we ultimately sell. So all we missed so far is that gold prices are pretty crappy. It has not done very well.
Rick Rule: Past is prologue. The same thing happened in the silver business.

Ross Beaty: I’m just confident things are going to turn. And so when they turn, you want to be ready with a very well-positioned, very leveraged vehicle.

So now, we have a spin-off vehicle called Luminex. And the main Lumina Gold company has this fabulous gold-copper porphyry in Ecuador that I’m absolutely certain we’re going to be able to sell at a significantly higher price than its market cap is today.

Sometime over the next year or so, it’s going to be of much more value. Of course, if the gold price goes up in the meantime (but even if it doesn’t), I think it has fundamental value — that should give us a pretty darn good value — to one of the major companies that need these kind of things. It’s 8.8 million ounces today. It’s going to be way, way bigger (I think) by this time next year because we’re drilling an area that we think is very fertile so it’s going to be bigger. I can’t say how much. We already know [that] it’s economic, what we already have. It’s under preliminary economic assessment, that shows a net present value of … I can’t remember what it is. It almost doesn’t matter because I know if it’s going to get much bigger. It’s hundreds of millions.

And it’s the right kind of thing for major companies. It’s going to produce 400,000 or 500,000 ounces a year for 20 years. That’s exactly what they’re looking for. Those things are rare and we have one. We know it’s going to have value to somebody at some point.
So that’s our company. Meanwhile the spinoff vehicle, the Luminex Gold or Luminex Resources, I should say is a $40 million market cap. It has probably got 20 properties in it. It’s a prospect generator. We’ve already done one deal with First Quantum that will be exploring some properties with their money. We’re going to do with Anglo America and on other properties that they will be exploring with their money. We have a potential third deal in the works. We have a bunch of gold in the company as well. I’m very optimistic we’re going to be able to do this again and again.
Rick Rule: Ecuador-focused.
Ross Beaty: Ecuador-focused right now. But mostly, value-focused. We’re not particularly focused on a country deal. We’re looking for just — loading up with good value and waiting for the market to turn and in the meantime, adding value in a traditional way.
So we have that happening. And we have — so that’s all going on separately while — I ultimately was working on my energy company. And in 2017… late 2017, I got an offer I couldn’t turn down. Sold the energy company. That’s really when I decided to go into gold in a big way and kind of book-end my career with a return to the first gold company which I had in 2000, Equinox Resources, which I had from 1985 to 1994.
Rick Rule: So let’s talk about [your new company] Equinox Gold. Tell us what the value proposition is here. Tell us what you’re trying to accomplish. Equinox Gold now is — the idea here, as I understand it, is to build a large intermediate gold producer.

Ross Beaty: The right word is to build a large gold producer. Yeah, it’s about trying to build a Pan American Silver of gold. I really love gold. I think the timing is good to build a gold producer. Right now, the prospect for me is to use the lessons I’ve learned in the last thirty years of running public companies in the resource space, [that] would allow us to build a really big vehicle very quickly right now. The conditions are just right (for right now). There are a lot of good opportunities. They are distressed. It’s a buyer’s market right now and we’re buyers. We have access to capital that a lot of companies don’t have.

So really the philosophy of Equinox Gold is to build a really big producing gold company as quickly as we can and get just massive leverage to gold for the “happy time” when the gold market turns and it becomes a bull market again. With a rise in price that will float our ship and become an industry leader in terms of return to shareholders, in terms of income statement and ultimately dividends.
So what does intermediate mean? We’re going to be probably producing somewhere between 300,000 and 600,000 ounces in the next few years.
Rick Rule: Let’s talk briefly about the constituent parts beginning with that initial flagship asset, the Brazilian asset [with a] tarnished past. Tell us what you see in it and how you’ll take it from here to there.
Ross Beaty: The Brazilian asset is one of those opportunities that you could acquire … when they do have some tarnish … very cheaply, which is what we did. Putting this company together with one Brazilian asset, one California asset and some cash. That’s what the three-way merger that we did in December was when we started Equinox Gold. And the first thing we did is we financed and started construction on this one mine that was going to rebuild what was already a producing mine, and fix the mistakes that were made then.
We’re going to start that up early in 2019 and we think it’s going to be a very successful mine. We’ve corrected the mistakes and we’ve re-engineered the package. The royalty has been changed. It has got no significant — no historic debt in any way. We put some new debt on it but it should generate a pretty [good] return to us … it’s a good cornerstone asset in what I hope will be a multi-asset diversified gold-producing company with multiple mines.
Rick Rule: You now have, well, two California assets. But tell us about those two.
Ross Beaty: Sure. With the merger [in December last year] … we put together … the Brazilian asset, the Aurizona mine and then one in California called Castle Mountain that was in the hands of a company called New Castle. So we [now] own one hundred percent of Castle Mountain.
I liked Castle Mountain in that it has humongous gold resource. It’s about 6 million-ounce gold resources. It is an old producer. It produced for many years in the ‘90s. And I know it well, I visited them. The same partner who operated that mine is operating our gold mine in California, the American Girl Mine.
So we know the deposit type. We know the size. It’s gigantic. It has existing permits. Grandfathered permits for a rather small scale operation of around 50,000 ounces a year that we’re planning to start going in 2020, about a year and a quarter from now. A very small capital cost to get that going. That’s what we call phase 1. Rather low risk, good size, should generate some decent cash flow, very easy to finance.

But the real story there is the larger 200,000 ounces a year gold mine that is going to take some permitting work. And we’re very active on that. It has been in permitting now for several years. And that is an operation that we hope we will be able to finance and build in about three years. That’s what we’ll operate at Castle Mountain, around 200,000 ounces a year. The pre-feasibility study we finished this year in June had I think a 16-year mine life on that. Wide open so it has got lots and lots of room to growth.

Those things are rare deposits. Those long life, large producers that can operate with low cash [cost] in a safe jurisdiction once permitted in an area that I’ve worked for much of my career in California and it has been a successful place to work.
So with those two operations, 140,000 ounces from Brazil, a couple of hundred thousand ounces from the Castle Mountain deposit, what we wanted to do is to add another deposit to bulk the company up again while times are tough, things are cheap, and we ended up — we’ve been trying to buy a producing mine all year this year. We’ve offered on several projects. Didn’t get the deal. We weren’t prepared to pay a high price.
Finally, we were able to reach an agreement with New Gold Inc. to buy their interest, one hundred percent in the Mesquite Mine. And that deal closed at the end of October. And that gave us the third plank or the third leg of the stool, one Brazil, one Castle Mountain in California, and then just South of Castle Mountain, the big-producing Mesquite Mine that runs at about 140,000 ounces a year. We own a hundred percent of that. We got immediate cash flow. Great income statement. And then add Aurizona [next year], add Castle Mountain [in 2020].
So when I say we want to become an intermediate producer we already are there or we will be there in a few months when we get Aurizona going.
From that point, it’s really how much bigger can we get? I am going to give this company a hard bit of work for a few more years, really trying to make it into something big and important as a true legacy company.
At this moment, we have reserves of 5 or 6 million ounces, resources of 8 or 9 million ounces. We will have production of close to 300,000 ounces by the end of next year. That is a great start after one year to have that as kind of the first year result in this company.

And beyond this, all I can say is just watch us. We’re going to keep seeking good acquisitions. We may not do any if we can’t get the right price. We are not known as aggressive deal makers. We may be aggressive but we’re not drunken sailors. We treat the money like it’s actually our own. And in most cases, it is our own because we’re all investors in the company.

So, if we can find a creative deal, we’re going to keep adding. And ultimately, build something that we can all be really proud of as an industry leader in gold.
Rick Rule: Now, the money question, Ross. You always lead me to the right question so I lead you to the right conclusions. “Treat the money like it’s our own.” Lumina is completing a fairly good size financing which Sprott has had the pleasure of participating in a major way. As did you.
Perhaps you could talk about that fact that you eat your own cooking: a) because it tastes good of course, but b) because it’s the right thing to do.  How much money (roughly) do you have involved now?
Ross Beaty: In Equinox? Well, actually, I have a lot of money in both. Well, going back to the Lumina Copper companies, basically, I own 25% of all the companies and I invested in every single financing and I bought more stock and I only sold it once. I only sold when there was a happy ending.
Lumina Gold: I’m about 15% shareholder and I will continue to hold that in every financing we do and there will be one time I sell, when everybody sells, because I expect that will be sold in the not too distant future.
And moving on to Equinox, of course, I started Equinox with a cash shell called Anfield that I held about 30% or something like that. I had invested tens of millions already in that company. And then I added another — I think this year, I’ve invested 20 or 30, maybe 30 or 40 million. I mean fairly a big chunk of money.

I’ve been very lucky I’ve done quite well in the business. I have a lot more capital than I ever had before. And I’m able to fund these companies to at least prorate the financing that I already hold. I hold about 12% of Equinox Gold. And I’ll keep funding at least that share.

But you’re right. [In] every single deal we do, I will be a cornerstone shareholder. In fact, we have a number of great cornerstone shareholders in Equinox Gold, and that makes it one of the strengths of the company. Richard Warke has come up with some massive successes — a brilliant, brilliant man, brilliant financier, and company builder. He is a major shareholder of Equinox. He participates. Sprott participates. You guys are big backers. We’re very proud of that.
Lukas Lundin is a shareholder. He is always supporting us. We’ve got some great, great shareholders. And that’s why in this $75 million deal we just did [to buy the Mesquite Mine], we were able to put in most of the money with friends and family of the company in a tough, tough market.
Rick Rule: Ross, I’d like to thank you for 40 years of friendship and profits. I have millions of reasons personally to wish you every success in Lumina and Equinox. Thank you for your time and attention.
Ross Beaty: Thanks, Rick. You’ve been a big part of the journey. It has been a great, great ride. Thank you for all of your friendship and support over the years. You’ve been in every single one of my deals. I’m very happy to say that and it has been a lot of fun.
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MILES FRANKLIN | Is Federal Reserve Script Starting To Sound Familiar?

Chris Marcus-Contributing Writer For Miles Franklin
Is Federal Reserve Script Starting To Sound Familiar?
Written by Chris Marcus of Miles Franklin
On Thursday the volatility in the stock market continued, with the Dow Jones at one point down over 700 points before closing at 24,947. Well off its 26,951 high from October 3rd.
Interestingly the market did rebound, and ended up only down 79 points on the day. Although just take a guess at what led to the reversal.
“But stocks pared their declines after The Wall Street Journal reported Federal Reserve officials are considering whether to signal a new wait-and-see mentality after a likely interest-rate increase at their meeting in December, which could slow down the pace of rate increases next year.”
To those in the precious metals and Austrian Economics communities, the news hardly comes as a surprise. In many ways, it’s more surprising that the Fed has waited as long as it has to finally hint at reversing course.
The signs of the downturn in the real estate market are there for those who choose to look. As the market is struggling to absorb the higher interest rates, similar to what happened in 2006-2007 when the Fed was raising rates prior to the collapse of the sub-prime bubble.
Now over the past 2 months the impact of the rising rates has been felt in the stock market as well. And it appears as if the Federal Reserve may be nearing its threshold for how long it plans to sit by and watch.
“Officials still think the broad direction of short-term interest rates will be higher in 2019, the Journal reported pointing to recent interviews and public statements. But as they push up their benchmark, they are becoming less sure how fast they will need to act or how far they will need to go
While CME data gave a 76.6% probability of a rate increase at the Fed’s December meeting, figures show a less clear consensus for 2019, reflecting estimates of just over one rate raise. But some analysts see that as an overly dovish forecast.”
Which has been predicted by many in the Austrian community, for the simple reason that the Federal Reserve long-ago backed itself into a corner. Where after a decade of unprecedented monetary easing, it’s now faced with the unenviable choice of either continuing to print and further make a mockery out of the dollar. Or raise rates and face the consequences.
And given the Fed’s past track record, it’s incredibly likely that they’re eventually going to resort to cranking up the presses again. Likely in amounts far in excess of what we’ve already seen. For the simple reason that the bubbles are bigger, and it takes increasingly larger amounts of money to keep them inflated.
Interestingly, the yield on the benchmark U.S. 10-year Treasury has come in substantially to 2.90%. Which means the bond market has been rallying as investors continue to follow the long-held, yet fatally flawed premise that U.S. treasuries and dollars are a legitimate safe haven asset.
Yet at least for now, the traditional response to buy treasuries and dollars during periods of stock market chaos has continued. And to some degree can be expected going forward, at least in the near-term. Yet it’s one of those flawed assumptions that holds true until one day when it doesn’t. Just like the once-held belief that housing prices would never fall.
The unfortunate reality for the Federal Reserve is that there is no way easy way out now. The easy way out was to not print money to begin with. But now it’s been done, and the impact of the consequences is being felt. And the Fed will have to choose between standing by and watching the markets collapse as rates rise, or revert back to more printing to delay the inevitable.
Either outcome leads to an environment that’s favorable for gold and silver. And with the Department of Justice seemingly taking a far more serious tone regarding precious metals manipulation than the CFTC has ever done, the pressure building for a resolution to the current pricing in the gold and silver markets continues to grow stronger than ever.
P.S. If you have any questions about this article, what’s happening with the Fed, or the precious metals market, you’re welcome as always to email me here.
-To buy or sell gold and silver call Miles Franklin today at (1-800-822-8080).
-Or get Miles Franklin’s detailed report on why the price of silver is set to explode.
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BOB MORIARTY | The Deal of the Century for Contrarians is here

Bob Moriarty
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Dec 8, 2018
Regular readers of 321gold are well aware that I am a contrarian. As Rick Rule likes to repeat, if you aren’t a contrarian, you are a victim.
On January 26th of this year, using nothing more than the DSI information, I predicted that 12 commodities would be making a turn. There was no magic to it; I just used information available to anyone at all. If they had access to the DSI and were capable of making a decision all by themselves.
Read what I wrote and then go look up any or all of those commodities by yourself so you can see how many I got right. I will give you a hint, I have never in fifty years of investing seen anyone else call turns on twelve commodities and get so many right.
It’s not magic, it’s not voodoo and for damn sure, I am not a guru or even an expert. I just used information available to everyone.
I’ve whined to Jake Bernstein in the past and begged for a special deal, perhaps just for the metals, that I could give my readers. He was willing to give me a discount but I didn’t think it was enough of a discount to make it worth writing about.
The DSI is simply the most valuable investing tool I have ever seen. There are a dozen or more various contrarian signals such as the PSLV Premium/Discount to NAV chart for silver and the SPPP Premium/Discount to NAV chart for platinum and palladium.
That last one by the way is telling me that platinum at a $460 discount to gold is about to rocket higher. But the Platinum/Gold spread chart [password required] put out by Gold Charts R Us by the talented Nick Laird would tell you exactly the same thing.
In the last three weeks the discount to gold by platinum has gone from $355 to $460. That has never happened in history. Nothing at all has changed in terms of fundamentals except the price. If you were a contrarian you would be looking to buy platinum and sell gold.
Jake just sent me an offer where between now and closing on the 20th of December, you can get a year of the DSI, normally priced at $1895 for $608 US. That’s a 68% discount by the way. I’d be proud to tell you that he made the offer just for 321gold readers but I would have to lie to do so. The offer is open to everyone. The rat.
If you can’t afford $608 for the DSI for a year, you have no business calling yourself an investor. You are not an investor; you are a chump trying to give your money away. The guys who do spring for the $608 are going to end up with all of your money.
I don’t get anything out of this other than he has comped me the service for the last couple of years. If you don’t find it one of the most valuable tools you have ever been handed after you use it for some time, write me and I will patiently listen to you whine and I will pat your back for you.
Order here and order now.
###
Bob Moriarty
President: 321gold
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OPPORTUNITY TRAVEL | 7 Unforgettable Days in Southeast Asia

From the desk of Barbara Perriello
Dear Reader,
My name is Barbara Perriello. I’m the Director of Opportunity Travel and the Conference Coordinator for the 2019 International Living 2019 Fast Track Your Retirement Overseas Conference in Bangkok, Thailand – February 21-23.
Since we’ll already be right here in beautiful Bangkok for the IL conference, I’ve put together an exclusive, fun filled post-conference tour that’s frankly irresistible.
Not only is it a first-class, luxurious journey with an intimate group of like-minded people…
You’ll also get a chance to see firsthand why travelers and expats alike simply love everything about these two destinations – Chiang Mai and Penang.
Yes, it’s sure to be the adventure of a lifetime.
And if this sounds interesting, we’d love to have you join us. But please don’t delay.
With only 20 spaces available, chances are this tour will sell out quickly.
To get all the details about this exclusive expedition and how you can guarantee yourself a spot, go here for pricing and our day to day itinerary
Don’t miss out! Call me right now at 800 926 6575 or +561 243 6276, or if you prefer, send me an email at info@opportunity-travel.com. We’re always happy to answer your questions or help you with special requests.
I hope to hear from you soon…
Cordially,

Barbara Perriello, Director
Opportunity Travel
P.S. Only the first 20 sign-ups are guaranteed a space for this tour. No exceptions. If you’re interested, I encourage you to reserve your place now.
P.P.S. If you haven’t already done so, click here to book International Living’s 2019 Fast Track Your Retirement Overseas Conference – Bangkok, Thailand – February 21-23.
Where We’re Headed Next


Why Retire in Panama?

Can you retire where you live now on $1,500 – $2,000 a month? You can easily do that in Panama, where most everything—from rent to health insurance and medical care—costs far less than you’re likely paying now. And you’ll love the climate. Discover how to live the retirement of your dreams in Panama.
Get more details here…


Opportunity Travel’s
Southeast Asia Tour to Thailand & Malaysia
February 24-March 3, 2019

Post-Tour Following International Living’s
2019 Fast Track Your Retirement Overseas Conference
Bangkok, Thailand – February 21-23

Since we’ll be right here in beautiful Bangkok for the IL conference, we’ve designed an exclusive, fun-filled post conference tour that’s a first class, luxurious journey. You’ll get a chance to see firsthand why travelers and expats alike simply love everything about Thailand and Malaysia. Get full details about this exclusive expedition and guarantee yourself a spot – but you’ll have to act fast, only 20 spaces are available. Call me at 800 926 6575 or +561 243 6276, or email at info@opportunity-travel.com.


The Oxford Club’s 21st Annual Investment U Conference
March 28-31, 2019 – The Vinoy Renaissance Resort


Every spring, The Oxford Club hosts its biggest event of the year –the Annual Investment U Conference. For this signature event, we spare no expense to bring you the latest and greatest from the investing world as well as a real no-nonsense look into the markets.
Throughout this event, you’ll discover dozens of profitable ideas from our team of expert analysts, as well as investment insights from more than two dozen of the industry’s top economists and investment minds.
Join us as we celebrate more than two decades of success and tremendous profit opportunities brought to life through this premier event. Year-after-year – we’ve seen the ideas shared here soar to great heights and we are thrilled to see what’s in store next.
For more information on this event, and to reserve your spot today, click hereIf you have any questions about the event, please email us at voyagerclub@oxfordclub.com or call us at +443.708.9411.


Money Map Press presents…

The Black Diamond Conference
Delray Beach Marriott – April 4-6, 2019

Now Accepting Registrations – Act Now & Save

Our next Money Map Press event will take place at one of the most beautiful oceanfront hotels in Florida… the Delray Beach Marriot. Escape with us to Florida’s sun-drenched beaches and take in all that this hip and happening town has to offer.
Money Map’s gurus will share all the tools, techniques and strategies that made them fortunes… and they’ll show you how to attain “the good life” for yourself. Right now for a very limited time,you have the opportunity to experience this exclusive event at a discounted rate.
Go here for full details and registration


Sprott Natural Resource Symposium 2019
Fairmont Hotel Vancouver – July 30-August 2, 2019

Plan your 2019 vacation now – we’ll be happy to help you!
Get the lowest price possible for this popular, long-running conference that just keeps getting better year after year!
Join our chairman and personal host, Rick Rule in the heart of downtown Vancouver for this sell-out event. It’s not too soon to claim your Advance Pricing discount!
Click here for details. You really can’t beat this offer!
For more information about any of these events or expeditions, simply give us a call right now at 800 926 6575 or 561 243 6276, OR send us an email at info@opportunity-travel.com


Opportunity Travel’s South America Expedition 
Uruguay & Argentina – November 2019
Call now to get your name on the list!

One of our most popular tours! Come November 2019 and once again we’ll be heading south to Uruguay and Argentina where we’ll show you so much more than the wonders these countries are known for. We’d love to have you join us!
Tantalizing wines, fabulous farm to table dining and sensuous tango are just a small snippet of what we have in store. Add to that our unique brand of personal service, luxury hotels and “boots on the ground” experts. Find out for yourself why our past attendees return again and again.
Call now to get your name on the list – 1-800-926-6575 or +561-243-6276OR send us an email at info@opportunity-travel.com


For more information about our tours or conferences, please contact, Barbara Perriello or Michelle Sedita at Opportunity Travel by email at info@opportunity-travel.com or by phone at +561.243.6276 or toll-free at +800.926.6575.

Disclaimer: Nothing in this e-mail should be considered personalized investment advice. Although our employees may answer your general customer service questions, they are not licensed under securities laws to address your particular investment situation. No communication by our employees to you should be deemed as personalized investment advice. In the interest of full disclosure: Opportunity Travel may receive commissions from any property sales made during any of its trips. And, as a travel agency, we often receive a commission from hotels when we book rooms for our tours and conferences.
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